War Returns, Semis Snap Back, Fed Frets Over … AI Inflation?
Let’s check the latest in the war on Iran, how SanDisk climbed along with the semiconductors, the Fed’s new concern … and, wow, the indirect bidders!
Let’s check the latest in the war on Iran, how SanDisk climbed along with the semiconductors, the Fed’s new concern … and, wow, the indirect bidders!
* And fading it…
I don’t own and am currently short (and have been recently short C, JPM, GS, MS, UBER, NFLX, homebuilders, etc.) some of the most consensus sectors.
I am long some of the most non-consensus sectors.
Consensus Longs:
* Memory: SanDisk ($SNDK), Micron ($MU), Intel ($INTC), AMD ($AMD), Applied Materials ($AMAT) (“it’s different this time”)
* Value Tech: Adobe ($ADBE), Oracle ($ORCL), ServiceNow ($NOW) and Nvidia ($NVDA)
* Tech With Biggest Moat: Apple ($AAPL)
* Value Industrial: Caterpillar ($CAT)
* Best Overall Value: Homebuilders
* Streaming: Netflix ($NFLX)
* Autonomous: Uber ($UBER)
* Entertainment: Disney ($DIS)
* Financials: JPMorgan ($JPM), Citigroup ($C), Goldman Sachs ($GS), Morgan Stanley ($MS)
* Frontier Exposure “For The Long Haul”: SpaceX ($SPCX)
Non-Consensus Longs:
* Cannabis: $MSOS, $VRNOD, $TRLV, $GTBIF, $GLAS
* Private Equity: Apollo ($APO), Blackstone ($BX), KKR ($KKR)
* Consumer Staples: Kimberly-Clark ($KMB), PepsiCo ($PEP), Procter & Gamble ($PG)
Positions:
Long MSOS (L), VRNOD (S), TRLV (S), GTIBF (S), GLAS (S), APO (S), BX (S), KKR (S), KMB (S), PEP (S), PG (S)
Short SPCX (VS), SNDK (VS), MU (VS), INTC (VS), AMAT (VS), AMD (VS), CAT (VS)
It’s looking tough out there on several fronts, including on Iran, the storage/memory stocks like SanDisk and Seagate, and tech names like Intel.
In response to some subscriber emails I am maintaining a small portion of my high-beta, high-tech short package – including (but not restricted to ($SNDK), ($MU), ($CAT), ($INTC), ($AMD), ($AMAT), ($CRWV) etc.)
Positions: Short Package VS (including stocks mentioned above)
The semiconductor sector is under pressure again Tuesday morning following Samsung Electronics’ earnings news.
The high-energy semiconductors may be undergoing a correction.
SanDisk, Micron, Western Digital and others got a Wednesday beating, so let’s take a look at the charts and see how to handle ’em now.
I have taken in some of my SNDK and MU shorts:
* SNDK ($SNDK) $1889 (-$141)
* MU ($MU) $1008.50 (-$24)
Positions: Short SNDK VS MU VS
The Seoul market and select chipmakers around Asia saw wild volatility, but the chaos is highly sector-specific.
Let’s look at the beating taken by memory stocks yesterday, the shot at a September rate cut, jobs day , and how July 4 week used to work for traders.