Tech Could Bounce Here, but That Doesn’t Mean the Selloff Is Over
The either/or market continued for another day with tech stocks continuing to fall. They’re nearing interesting support levels, but a bounce could be followed by more downside.
The either/or market continued for another day with tech stocks continuing to fall. They’re nearing interesting support levels, but a bounce could be followed by more downside.
Let’s scan through the headlines for the stories of the week that speak to our Pro Portfolio holdings.
Nine of 11 sectors rose, powering the S&P higher despite semiconductor weakness. Small-caps, though, posted a fifth straight weekly loss for the first time since 2022.
We added to one holding while our concern for higher energy prices starts to play out.
Multiyear future contracted bookings mean using PEG ratio valuation, not a simple P/E metric.
– $PROF +19% (preliminary Q3 revenue was about 45%-47% above consensus, with gross margin expected above 70%)
– $HAE +14% (no fresh company catalyst confirmed; unusually large move on light premarket volume)
– $WOLF +13% (received a conditional commitment for up to $1.5B of 30-year U.S. defense financing, partly offset by warrants for up to 7.5% of diluted equity)
– $EFX +4.5% (no fresh company catalyst confirmed; unusually large premarket move)
– $APA +3.1%, OXY +2.5%, DVN +2.4% (oil producers rise as WTI and Brent jump roughly 4.5%)
– $PLTR +2.3% (extends AI-software momentum despite weaker index futures)
– $PEP +1.6% (Q3 revenue and profit beat expectations; a better-than-feared quarter offsets a cut to the FY earnings-growth outlook)
– $ARGX -15% (Phase 3 UNITY study in Sjögren’s disease was stopped for futility, overshadowing positive Phase 2 celiac-disease data)
– $GLW -3.3% (no fresh company catalyst confirmed; unusually large premarket move)
– $EQIX -3.0% (rate-sensitive data-center REIT falls as the 10-year Treasury yield climbs to roughly 5.33%)
– $NXPI -3.1%, $AMAT -2.5%, $LRCX -2.9%, $HPE -2.0% (semiconductor and hardware names weaken as Treasury yields rise and global technology shares sell off)
– $SHW -2.7% (crude-oil surge raises petrochemical feedstock and input-cost concerns)
We raised cash early, put some back to work late in the month, locked in gains on Meta and kicked off our quarterly EPS All-Stars reconstitution.
An updated look at S&P 500 support levels as we stick to the sidelines.
The market may not be selling off solely because of oil and Iran. Investors may be starting to price in another troubling risk.
During the week of challenging developments, we refreshed out shopping list, exited one holding and added to four others.