Bi-Weekly Sentiment Survey: Mixed But Leaning Bearish
The latest in our ongoing survey of TheStreet Pro’s contributors leans bearish.
The latest in our ongoing survey of TheStreet Pro’s contributors leans bearish.
Renewed U.S.-Iran attacks, traffic in the Strait, Costco, SK Hynix and other headlines are moving stocks this morning.
* And fading it…
I don’t own and am currently short (and have been recently short C, JPM, GS, MS, UBER, NFLX, homebuilders, etc.) some of the most consensus sectors.
I am long some of the most non-consensus sectors.
Consensus Longs:
* Memory: SanDisk ($SNDK), Micron ($MU), Intel ($INTC), AMD ($AMD), Applied Materials ($AMAT) (“it’s different this time”)
* Value Tech: Adobe ($ADBE), Oracle ($ORCL), ServiceNow ($NOW) and Nvidia ($NVDA)
* Tech With Biggest Moat: Apple ($AAPL)
* Value Industrial: Caterpillar ($CAT)
* Best Overall Value: Homebuilders
* Streaming: Netflix ($NFLX)
* Autonomous: Uber ($UBER)
* Entertainment: Disney ($DIS)
* Financials: JPMorgan ($JPM), Citigroup ($C), Goldman Sachs ($GS), Morgan Stanley ($MS)
* Frontier Exposure “For The Long Haul”: SpaceX ($SPCX)
Non-Consensus Longs:
* Cannabis: $MSOS, $VRNOD, $TRLV, $GTBIF, $GLAS
* Private Equity: Apollo ($APO), Blackstone ($BX), KKR ($KKR)
* Consumer Staples: Kimberly-Clark ($KMB), PepsiCo ($PEP), Procter & Gamble ($PG)
Positions:
Long MSOS (L), VRNOD (S), TRLV (S), GTIBF (S), GLAS (S), APO (S), BX (S), KKR (S), KMB (S), PEP (S), PG (S)
Short SPCX (VS), SNDK (VS), MU (VS), INTC (VS), AMAT (VS), AMD (VS), CAT (VS)
As the second quarter skims some froth off the technology trade, let’s see why these three areas are key to watch in Q3.
Let’s dive into the charts and why they point to a possible a.m. tech rally; look down at ON Semiconductor, Arm Holdings and Qualcomm; and check the latest on Iran.
Let’s discuss PLTR’s oversold condition, increased earnings expectations, and notable valuation.
Micron’s stock may be cheap, but it is technically extended, and a perfect quarter may not be good enough.
Here are the three things that triggered the selling, what to watch now and my strategy for this difficult market.
There isn’t much left to drive the market higher as we await second-quarter earnings.
Japan, Korea and Taiwan are setting new records, while a potential trade to exploit the high degree of leverage creeps into the system.