Is the Bottom Falling Out of the AI Trade?
We’re seeing equity valuations collapse for semiconductor stocks, and bond yields for CoreWeave soar to distressed levels. Is the AI bubble bursting?
We’re seeing equity valuations collapse for semiconductor stocks, and bond yields for CoreWeave soar to distressed levels. Is the AI bubble bursting?
A hotter-than-expected September CPI report and a deepening selloff in AI names sent the S&P 500 down more than 1% for the first time in 54 sessions, with the Nasdaq and small caps falling nearly 2%.
SI will destroy and create major economic shifts. Let’s discuss the emerging investment opportunities.
– $AEMD +403% (merger agreement with North Immunology adds an IL-13 x IL-18 bispecific-antibody program for atopic dermatitis)
– $GNRC +30% (Amazon supply agreement includes $2.4B of backup-generator deliveries expected during 2027-2028)
– $VEEA +30% (non-binding combination term sheet with NovaGen targets a $750M AI-health platform)
– $DTSS +12% (strategic cooperation expands into AI-powered elderly-care robots in China)
– $MEDS +12% (Helomics acquisition expands its cancer-diagnostics and precision-oncology platform)
– $VICR +12% (licenses its vertical power-delivery technology to a leading AI OEM)
– $NBIS +9.0% (reported AI-compute price increases signal stronger pricing power amid constrained capacity)
– $IREN +5.5%, CIFR +6.3% (AI-compute peers gain on the pricing-power read-through from NBIS)
– $APLD +5.8%, HUT +5.0%, WULF +4.7% (Wells Fargo initiates the data-center infrastructure names at Overweight)
– $NOK +5.0% (expands its Microsoft partnership by integrating network-automation data tools with Microsoft Fabric)
– $BE +4.5%, $GEV +3.3% (data-center power names gain as the Amazon-GNRC agreement reinforces hyperscaler power demand)
– LCID +4.2% (partners with Bolt to deploy at least 25,000 Level 4 autonomous vehicles across Europe)
– QGEN +3.5% (traders circulating German press report saying Qiagen attracts interest from KKR, Advent, TPG)
– GLW +3.7%, ANET ($ANET) +2.7%, CIEN +3.2% (AI networking and optical names rise as compute pricing points to continued infrastructure tightness)
– MRVL ($MRVL) +3.5%, LRCX +3.6%, INTC +3.2%, TER +3.6%, AMAT +3.2%, KLAC +3.2% (semiconductors rebound with technology shares after the Fed decision clears a major policy-event overhang)
– LGVN -49% (Phase 2b ELPIS II trial in hypoplastic left heart syndrome missed its primary efficacy endpoint)
– DLXY -45% (reverses sharply after a non-binding LOI covering up to a 48% interest in a Kazakhstan oil-field project)
– FLNC -22% (cuts FY guidance as supply-chain issues and delays ramping its Houston manufacturing facility drive a much larger expected loss)
– S -3.9% (no clear fresh catalyst identified; notable liquid cybersecurity move)
– BDX -3.5% (no clear fresh catalyst identified; unusually large premarket move in the medical-device name)
– LEN ($LEN) -1.3% (quarter missed and forward guidance disappointed as affordability pressure continued to weigh on homebuilding demand)
Source: Trade The News
Not much changed in the market today, with the broadening out trade petering out. But can semis save the day?
As hyperscalers make the biggest infrastructure wager in history, there are two AI-related bets I believe in.
The the odds of no rate hike in 2026 have jumped to 28% from 11% a month ago.
Too many people were positioned for a pullback that has not come.