Mondelez Up, Intel Down: Upside, Downside Movers in the Morning

Upside

– $REGN +6.9% (Q3 profit and revenue materially topped expectations)

– $BTSG +6.4% (Q3 beat and full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance raised)

– $MDLZ +6.4% (profit beat, volume-led growth and upbeat margin and 2027 commentary)

– $RIVN +6.4% (Q3 beat and 2026 delivery outlook raised)

– $AZN +5.9% (Q3 revenue and profit beat on strong oncology growth; FY guidance reaffirmed)

– $MICC +5.4% (Q3 update showed double-digit growth at core brands and more than 30% Yasso growth)

– $GILD +5.1% (Q3 beat and product-sales outlook raised on strong HIV growth)

– $CL +5.0% (Q3 beat, volume and gross margin improved and FY profit guidance was raised)

– $TAK +4.4% (first-half profit beat and FY outlook upgraded, primarily reflecting FX benefits)

– $FDXF +3.9% (inaugural standalone results beat and adjusted margin outlook was raised)

– $ICE +3.7% (extends post-earnings gains after record Q3 results and a higher recurring-revenue outlook)

– $SNY +3.6% (Q3 delivered double-digit sales and profit growth and FY guidance was raised)

– $GD +3.4% (Q3 beat with broad segment growth and robust bookings)

– $DXCM +3.0% (Q3 beat with margin expansion and higher FY revenue and profitability guidance)

– $EXC +2.5% (Q3 beat and FY guidance narrowed while long-term EPS growth was affirmed near the top of its range)

Downside

– $ATEC -32% (Q3 missed as weaker biologics revenue drove cuts to the FY revenue, EBITDA and free-cash-flow outlooks)

– $INTC -25% (Q4 revenue, profit and gross-margin guidance fell well short as the PC slowdown is expected to persist into 2027)

– $RDDT -22% (strong headline growth was overshadowed by a 2% decline in US daily active users)

– $TWLO -19% (Q3 beat and FY outlook rose, but Q4 organic growth is set to slow sharply and operating-profit guidance disappointed)

– $RBLX -16% (Q4 bookings forecast calls for a 10% to 15% year-over-year decline)

– $ILMN -13% (revenue missed and slowing instrument growth outweighed a guidance raise partly helped by tariff refunds)

– $DELL -12%, HPQ -10%, P -7.8%, HPE -7.6% (hardware and storage names tumble as the PC warning and heavy AI spending trigger broad tech de-risking)

– $SYK -10% (Q3 sales and profit missed and the FY outlook was cut amid softer hip and knee demand)

– $SNDK -9.4% (strong quarter and guidance trigger a high-expectations sell-the-news reaction as consumer revenue fell sharply)

– $CCJ -8.7% (Q3 results fell year over year as a longer Key Lake outage raised costs and Westinghouse equity earnings declined)

– $CRDO -8.7%, ARM -9.5%, AMD -9.8%, ASX -8.7%, SMTC -9.5%, NVDA -2.7% (semiconductors fall after the weak chip outlook sparks a global technology rout)

– $COHR -8.8%, BE -9.0%, NBIS -8.3%, GLW -7.1% (AI-infrastructure names unwind as negative free cash flow renews concerns over capex returns)

– NWG -8.1% (quarterly profit fell, impairment losses nearly doubled and the next buyback decision was deferred)

– WDC -8.1%, STX -7.2% (storage names fall alongside the memory selloff and broader AI-hardware de-risking)

– AMZN -7.4% (Q3 sales and profit missed, free cash flow turned deeply negative and the holiday-quarter sales outlook was cautious)

– PINS -7.3% (Q3 revenue missed guidance and the Q4 outlook implies further growth deceleration)

The Day Ahead: US Calendar is Light, but Tech Continues Selloff

Futures are pointing to another rough session for large cap indices with the S&P 500 indicated lower by over 1% and the Nasdaq-100 ($QQQ) 2.5%. Again non-Tech is faring better with the Russell 2000 ($RUT) indicated lower by just under a half percent.

Otherwise though catalysts are light today:

In US economic data, Friday brings us the Q3 Employment Cost Index (the Fed’s preferred wage inflation metric) and the October Chicago PMI.

Fed speakers return after Wednesday’s 10-2 decision to hold the fed funds target range at 3.75%-4%, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting in favor of a 25bp hike. San Francisco Fed President Daly gives introductory remarks at the San Francisco Fed’s Economic Research Symposium at 12pm ET, and St. Louis Fed President Musalem delivers a keynote address at the Shadow Open Market Committee meeting at 12:30pm ET.

There are no non-Bill (>1yr in maturity) US Treasury auctions.

13 S&P 500 components report, all before the open, three of them with market caps over $100bn:

Before the open: Exxon Mobil ($XOM), AbbVie ($ABBV), Chevron ($CVX), General Dynamics ($GD), Regeneron ($REGN), Colgate-Palmolive ($CL), Dominion Energy ($D), Exelon ($EXC), Kenvue ($KVUE), Cboe Global Markets ($CBOE), Church & Dwight ($CHD), LyondellBasell ($LYB) and Federal Realty ($FRT)

Outside the US, AstraZeneca ($AZN), Sanofi ($SNY) and BP ($BP) report.

Ex-US is a busier day, with highlights including a decision from the Bank of Japan, Japan October Tokyo CPI, September jobless rate, job-to-applicant ratio, retail sales, industrial production and housing starts, UK October Lloyds Business Barometer, the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters, Germany October CPI, unemployment claims rate, Q3 GDP and September import price index, France October CPI, Q3 GDP, private sector payrolls, September consumer spending and PPI, Italy Q3 GDP and October CPI, Eurozone Q3 GDP and September unemployment rate, Spain October CPI and Canada August GDP. The G20 foreign ministers also meet in Atlanta (through October 31).

From Christophe Barraud’s international Week Ahead rundown: