Thinking Further on IBM 

Yes, I’ve added to IBM ($IBM) on today’s weakness.

Readers will see that after falling out of bed late this past winter, the shares of IBM had developed a rectangle pattern with a $258 pivot over the following three-month period. The stock broke out of that pattern in response to the above news flow. In doing so, IBM took back its 21-day EMA, 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA. 

Relative Strength is still quite robust but has now come off of a technically overbought level. Below the chart, the MACD now has a lot of bullish momentum, and is still postured in that way. Within that indicator, the histogram of the 9-day EMA is now well into bullish territory while the 12-day EMA is holding its ground above the 26-day EMA.

What if we strip away the rectangle? Take a look:

It’s a little lopsided, but IBM has developed a “cup with handle” pattern bearing a $331 pivot. This, in my opinion, refreshes the bullish setup for this stock. 

International Business Machines (IBM)

Price Target: $397 (up from $337)

Pivot: $331

Add: Down to 200-day SMA (Currently $272)

Panic: Loss of that 200-day line. 

Position: Long IBM equity

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Posted by Stephen Guilfoyle

Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle is the founder and President of Sarge986 LLC, a family run trading operation. An NYSE floor trader for over 30 years, Guilfoyle has served as the Chief Market Economist for Stuart Frankel & Co., the U.S. Economist for Meridian Equity Partners, and as a Vice President in Block Trading and Investment Banking with Credit Suisse over the years. Guilfoyle earned his nickname “Sarge” while serving as an actual sergeant in reserve components of the U.S. Marine Corps, and U.S. Army while simultaneously working on Wall Street. He self-identifies as a day trader, long-term investor, and anything in between. He believes in removing the emotion out of the decision-making process and trusting the data. Look to Guilfoyle to prepare you for the trading day with his popular early morning Market Recon newsletter on TheStreet Pro, which provides a mix of fundamentals, technical analysis, economic commentary and trading ideas.

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