Conditions Are Ripe for Selling Into a Series of Major Events
A flood of events will soak up liquidity in exactly the sector that needs support.
A flood of events will soak up liquidity in exactly the sector that needs support.
Yes, I’ve added to IBM ($IBM) on today’s weakness.
Readers will see that after falling out of bed late this past winter, the shares of IBM had developed a rectangle pattern with a $258 pivot over the following three-month period. The stock broke out of that pattern in response to the above news flow. In doing so, IBM took back its 21-day EMA, 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA.

Relative Strength is still quite robust but has now come off of a technically overbought level. Below the chart, the MACD now has a lot of bullish momentum, and is still postured in that way. Within that indicator, the histogram of the 9-day EMA is now well into bullish territory while the 12-day EMA is holding its ground above the 26-day EMA.
What if we strip away the rectangle? Take a look:

It’s a little lopsided, but IBM has developed a “cup with handle” pattern bearing a $331 pivot. This, in my opinion, refreshes the bullish setup for this stock.
Price Target: $397 (up from $337)
Pivot: $331
Add: Down to 200-day SMA (Currently $272)
Panic: Loss of that 200-day line.
Position: Long IBM equity
Quantum computing stocks sold off hard on Wednesday ahead of the Quantinuum IPO at the Nasdaq Market Site on Thursday. Quantinuum, which is majority owned by Honeywell ($HON), will officially begin trading later today under the ticker symbol “QNT.”
On Wednesday, Infleqtion ($INFQ) gave up 12.4%, Rigetti Computing ($RGTI) gave back 10.4%, and D-Wave Quantum ($QBTS) surrendered 7.9%. Even the mighty IBM ($IBM) lost 7.2%.
Last night, Quantinuum announced that it has raised $1.68 billion in its initial public offering after pricing 28 million shares at $60 apiece.
I will be adding to my long position in IBM (still up 31.6%) at some point this morning.
Positions: Long IBM equity.
I’m enjoying the aggressive speculative trading, but growing worried about some upcoming catalysts and toppy technical action.
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