Anticipation of a Pullback Is Preventing … a Pullback
The bearish argument is logical, but price action refuses to confirm it. Here’s what could change things.
The bearish argument is logical, but price action refuses to confirm it. Here’s what could change things.
We added to one holding this week, and locked in outsized gains for two others.
It’s one of those markets where the indexes move ahead, but the breadth hasn’t broadened out.
We added three new holdings this week, diversifying our lineup, and locked in massive gains across three others.
Let’s check out how a popular retailer, major heating and air conditioning play and a large lender are all falling quickly.
Rather than rely on anecdotal evidence, let’s take a look at what matters, the indicators.
Meanwhile, in the land of the consumer, CostCo ($COST) and Walmart ($WMT) making new lows as bond yields rise and bond prices drop.
With earnings per share expectations likely to be taken lower, the equity risk premium’s discount expands.
Positions: None.
There were two important observations regarding sector movements on Wednesday, including the obviously large-sized drop in memory and chip stocks (We are short many of these in our High-Beta Tech Short Basket).
But less obvious (apologies to The Princess Bride’s Vizzini) was the drop in Walmart’s ($WMT) share price:
108.82-4.44 (-3.92%)
At close: July 1 at 4:00:01 PM EDT
109.52+0.70(+0.64%)
The consumer is spent up, not pent up.
Position: Short High-Beta Tech Basket
Walmart’s ($WMT) shares have dropped from $135 to $113 since mid-May.
Costco’s ($COST) shares have fallen from $1095 to $940.
Positions: none.
Warsh’s battle for price stability and against the Fed’s balance sheet are creating a reaction in currency markets.