The Market Is a Mess — And the Indexes Are Hiding the Truth
The indexes are terrible timing devices, and this week proves it.
The indexes are terrible timing devices, and this week proves it.
Wednesday’s bond relief and biotech celebration lasted exactly one session.
Market conditions and cash on hand will dictate if and when we make any moves.
* The markets, that is…
From the ridiculous:
Dr Frankenstein: Now that brain that you gave me, was it Hans Del Brooks?
Igor: No.
Dr. Frankenstein: Would you mind telling me whose brain I did put in?
Igor: Abby someone.
Dr. Franksenstein: Abby, who?
Igor: Abby Normal – I am almost sure that was the name.
Dr. Frankenstein: Are you saying I put an abnormal brain into a 7 1/2 foot long, 54 inch wide gorilla?
– Young Frankenstein Abby normal scene – YouTube
To the sublime:
“Something is rotten in Denmark.”
– Grandma Koufax
The market’s (daily and intraday) volatility and absence of memory from day to day suggests, to me, that something is awry. At the very least, the inconsistency and lack of predictability of the market (again from day to day), feels like the markets are becoming more casino-like.
Amazon ($AMZN), up $5+ yesterday, down $5+ today. Or Walmart ($WMT) -$11 (the consumer is faltering as I suggested in my Diary this week — and wasn’t the investment case that WMT is positioned ideally for AI advances?). And, of course, the daily gyrations of memory and chip stocks.
This backdrop is great for opportunistic traders, not so great for the buy-and-hold crowd.
I have been wrong about the markets, but I have little interest in gambling with my Limited Partners’ hard earned capital — even if there are continued opportunity costs — as I feel the wheels might fall off of the U.S. stock market at any time.
Position: None
As the market quickly forgets a significant Treasury buyback, the retail giant offered a concerning economic update.
Comp sales data favor Costco, while TJX shares enter oversold territory.
Oil moving through the strait, $40 trillion in debt and other headlines moving the market this morning.
Trump and Canada talk tariff deal, Venezuela oil production and other headlines moving the market this morning.
With retail stocks slipping as earnings approach, we’re reducing our position.
As peace eludes and perils grow in Middle East, why hasn’t oil run wild … yet? Also, the ‘BUZZ’ on chips and trouble n China.