Back to Work With a Key Market Level You Should Be Watching
It’s a choppy market that can slice, dice, and chop your portfolio. Here’s what I’m paying attention to.
It’s a choppy market that can slice, dice, and chop your portfolio. Here’s what I’m paying attention to.
SanDisk ($SNDK) is part of my high-beta, high-tech short basket.
At $1,714, the shares are now -$640 from their high of $2,354 achieved only three weeks ago.
Position: Short SNDK (VS)
I am still short my high-beta, high-tech basket which includes these names (and others): Intel ($INTC), Micron ($MU), SanDisk ($SNDK), Applied Materials ($AMAT), Advanced Micro Devices ($AMD), Caterpillar ($CAT), CoreWeave ($CRWV).
Position: Short INTC (S), MU (S), SNDK (S), AMAT (S), AMD (S), CAT (S), CRWV (S).
Markets brush off fighting with Iran as Meta talks about making its own AI chips; South Korea’s SK Hynix lists on Nasdaq; I give a chart checkup on the market.
Even as semiconductors continue to power the market higher, chip makers face a $1 trillion question.
Shares in the Korean semiconductor firm are set to list on Friday and raise a record amount for a company based outside of the U.S.
Let’s check the latest in the war on Iran, how SanDisk climbed along with the semiconductors, the Fed’s new concern … and, wow, the indirect bidders!
* And fading it…
I don’t own and am currently short (and have been recently short C, JPM, GS, MS, UBER, NFLX, homebuilders, etc.) some of the most consensus sectors.
I am long some of the most non-consensus sectors.
Consensus Longs:
* Memory: SanDisk ($SNDK), Micron ($MU), Intel ($INTC), AMD ($AMD), Applied Materials ($AMAT) (“it’s different this time”)
* Value Tech: Adobe ($ADBE), Oracle ($ORCL), ServiceNow ($NOW) and Nvidia ($NVDA)
* Tech With Biggest Moat: Apple ($AAPL)
* Value Industrial: Caterpillar ($CAT)
* Best Overall Value: Homebuilders
* Streaming: Netflix ($NFLX)
* Autonomous: Uber ($UBER)
* Entertainment: Disney ($DIS)
* Financials: JPMorgan ($JPM), Citigroup ($C), Goldman Sachs ($GS), Morgan Stanley ($MS)
* Frontier Exposure “For The Long Haul”: SpaceX ($SPCX)
Non-Consensus Longs:
* Cannabis: $MSOS, $VRNOD, $TRLV, $GTBIF, $GLAS
* Private Equity: Apollo ($APO), Blackstone ($BX), KKR ($KKR)
* Consumer Staples: Kimberly-Clark ($KMB), PepsiCo ($PEP), Procter & Gamble ($PG)
Positions:
Long MSOS (L), VRNOD (S), TRLV (S), GTIBF (S), GLAS (S), APO (S), BX (S), KKR (S), KMB (S), PEP (S), PG (S)
Short SPCX (VS), SNDK (VS), MU (VS), INTC (VS), AMAT (VS), AMD (VS), CAT (VS)
It’s looking tough out there on several fronts, including on Iran, the storage/memory stocks like SanDisk and Seagate, and tech names like Intel.
In response to some subscriber emails I am maintaining a small portion of my high-beta, high-tech short package – including (but not restricted to ($SNDK), ($MU), ($CAT), ($INTC), ($AMD), ($AMAT), ($CRWV) etc.)
Positions: Short Package VS (including stocks mentioned above)