Micron’s Mega Move; Banks’ Clean Bill of Health; Wendy’s … Wow!
Micron blows away expectations, boosting storage trade; banks pass stress test, Lockheed locks up defense deal and, wow, Wendy’s!
Why Booming Chip Demand May Not Be Great News for the Stock Market
Micron surpassed elevated expectations, but the Mag 7 is paying a price.
Is This Just the Latest Example of Algorithmic Overshoot?
Let’s get real about South Korea’s wild market swings, a new ADR listing, oil’s decline, the DJIA, and what I’m seeing from the S&P 500.
Things I Did Today
Here are today’s things:
* Covered 1/2 of my $SPCX short at $153.85.
* Covered brokerage shorts in $MS at $222.51 and $GS at $1,080.90.
* Covered tech shorts: $DRAM at $70.26, $SNDK at $2,051 and $MU at $1,099.
* Covered $IWM short at $293.33.
* Added to cannabis longs: $MSOS at $4.50, $GTBIF at $7.28, $TRLV at $8.55 and $VRNOD at $5.29.
Position: Long MSOS (L), GTBIF (S), TRLV (S), VRNOD (S); Short SPCX (VS)
A Market With Pockets of Health and Pockets of Sickness
There’s lots to love about the stock market right now. And many things to be concerned about.
New SanDisk Price Target as Stock Threatens Another Parabolic Move
Let’s think a little more about the mighty, mighty SanDisk.
Why I Have Targeted Shorts in GRNY and JOET
* Among other reasons, I now want to be short momentum.
I plan to aggressively expand my ($GRNY) short now and to continue to modestly expand my ($JOET) short (despite my fondness for its portfolio manager Joe Terranova).
Let me give you two straightforward reasons for my tactics:
* Both ETFS are grounded in momentum-based investing. Here are the holdings of GRNY (GRNY Holdings – GRNY GRNJ GRNI | Fundstrat Granny Shots ETFs) and JOET (JOET – Portfolio – Virtus Terranova US Quality Momentum ETF | Morningstar). Given my increasingly negative near term market view I want to now be short momentum (i.e., the leading edge of market leadership). Shorting these ETFs satisfies my objective of shorting momentum and conforms to my conservative risk profile and appetite, as, for me, it is too dangerous (save very very short term forays on the short side) to position short in SNDK ($SNDK), MU ($MU), AMD ($AMD), INTC ($INTC), AMAT ($AMAT) et al.
* Both ETFs rebalance with strict multi month disciplines. This disadvantages both ETFs in the event of a violent change in sector leadership. In other words, why be long a momentum based ETF if one hand is tied behind its back?
Any questions about this, please comment in The Comments Section.
Short GRNY M JOET S
Real Winners and Losers Emerge in Asia After Fed Meeting
Japan, Korea and Taiwan are setting new records, while a potential trade to exploit the high degree of leverage creeps into the system.
Careful Where You Step in This Market
Tech is looking stretched, housing is looking weak and SpaceX is blasting past powerhouses like Amazon as other AI companies line up to go public.
My Impulse to More Aggressively Short the Indices at 4 AM
When I awoke at 3:30 AM I saw S&P futures +20 handles and the Nasdaq futures +255 handles.
What caught my eye was the outsized gain in the Nasdaq — even though Mag 7 stocks were flat to slightly lower at around 4 AM — it was all due to gaps in semi and memory stocks (especially $MU, $AMD and $SNDK):
I shorted $SPY and $QQQ because I don’t think that outsized influence and divergence continue for a host of reasons.
Position: Short SPY (M), QQQ (M)