Retreating Yields Lift Stocks and Broaden Market Gains
Treasury yields reversed from two-decade highs, helping stocks recover morning losses as gains broaden beyond Tech, but higher oil prices remained a headwind.
Treasury yields reversed from two-decade highs, helping stocks recover morning losses as gains broaden beyond Tech, but higher oil prices remained a headwind.
A cooler-than-expected core PCE lifted stocks early, but a rebound in yields and a sharp final-hour selloff left the Nasdaq as the lone gainer on the day and month.
Bonds had good reasons to rally and didn’t, which benefited the AI mega caps.
Major indices were down for a second session Tuesday but finished well off the lows after a key Fed voice said there’s “no need for urgency” on rate hikes.
The problem clearly runs deeper than the next Federal Reserve meeting.
With S&P cash -29 handles I am covering the balance of my index shorts:
* $SPY $762.56
* $QQQ $735.57
Position: None
Bond yields hit fresh multi-year highs, while oil whipsawed on Iran headlines, sending the S&P 500 into the red for September.
Here are today’s things:
* I covered most of my Index shorts:
$SPY $766.95
$QQQ 736.75
* I covered my relatively large $GRNY short at $28.02 and eliminated a small $JOET short at $45.14 .
* With $CVNA down by -$5 I sold my CVNA puts. I remain short common.
* I added to long in $MSOS at $5.09 (common) and bought a crapload of calls for October and November. Added to $GTBIF at $7.70.
* I added back to $GLD at $380.30 today — replacing what I sold on Friday (when I substantially reduced my GLD on a rally at $394.94). I got very lucky for the second time on the precious metal, remember I sold my prior position of this trading sardine at over $400 about a week ago.
* I paid $26.01 for more $WRTH long.
Position: Long MSOS common (VL) and calls (M), GLD (L); Short SPY (VS), QQQ (VS), CVNA (VS)
* This sort of relatively frenetic trading is not for everyone, but it’s for me … for now and until a more serious drop occurs
With S&P futures -45 handles and Nasdaq futures -330 handles I am taking in most of my index shorts for a quick, overnight profit:
* $SPY $766.95
* $QQQ $736.75
Position: Short SPY (VS), QQQ (VS)
Rumors of a potential deal to open the Strait of Hormuz lifted stocks out of the red, but another rise in yields and oil prices kept them under pressure.