Follow Up to My Opener

The sort of abysmal price action in $MSFT, $AMZN, $GOOGL and $META are EXACTLY the concerns I expressed in my market structure post.

I worry that today’s weakness in the precursor of a market structure event not similar to past disruptions:

The proliferation, popularity and acceptance of leverage products and portfolio concentration in quantitative strategies, margin debt, the options market and leveraged ETFs argue in favor of rising odds of another October 1987 (“Black Monday”) or a 2018 “Volmageddon” (or Vix Bloodbath) event.  

Position: None

An MOU, an Evening Rally and Threatening Market Volatility and Industry Rotation

The signing of this memorandum of understanding (which I present without personal comment) has — once again — led to a rally in the futures overnight with S&P futures +65 handles and the Nasdaq +440 handles:

As noted (partially) in the Comments Section I was up throughout the night selling most of my trading longs discussed in my Diary, in addition to selling additional trading long rentals not discussed (too speculative for home gamers). 

Stocks are beginning to move in integers and group rotation is conspicuous.

* The absolute and relative strength/overbought in semis and memory equities are growing more and more extreme — continuing this morning premarket. 

* Financials are catching an amazing bid. 

* But former leaders, Mag 7, are falling flat on their face with fundamental strategic and execution issues plaguing Microsoft ($MSFT) and Meta ($META).  

I will try to get out an opener this morning which discusses the rising possibility of a market “event” owing to market structure.

Position: None