Nvidia’s $500B Plan, Intel Raises Cash, Iran Digs In
Here’s my take on Intel after it taps the capital markets, that huge Nvidia plan, and the lack of a deal with Iran.
Here’s my take on Intel after it taps the capital markets, that huge Nvidia plan, and the lack of a deal with Iran.
What to watch with SpaceX earnings, U.S munition pain point, Duke Energy’s capital plan, and other headlines are moving stocks this morning.
I have liquidated my three private equity stock (long) positions after a strong run recently:
* $APO $129.72 (+$4.13)
* $BX $134.58 (+$8.12)
* $KKR $107.12 (+$5.69)
Position: None
* And fading it…
I don’t own and am currently short (and have been recently short C, JPM, GS, MS, UBER, NFLX, homebuilders, etc.) some of the most consensus sectors.
I am long some of the most non-consensus sectors.
Consensus Longs:
* Memory: SanDisk ($SNDK), Micron ($MU), Intel ($INTC), AMD ($AMD), Applied Materials ($AMAT) (“it’s different this time”)
* Value Tech: Adobe ($ADBE), Oracle ($ORCL), ServiceNow ($NOW) and Nvidia ($NVDA)
* Tech With Biggest Moat: Apple ($AAPL)
* Value Industrial: Caterpillar ($CAT)
* Best Overall Value: Homebuilders
* Streaming: Netflix ($NFLX)
* Autonomous: Uber ($UBER)
* Entertainment: Disney ($DIS)
* Financials: JPMorgan ($JPM), Citigroup ($C), Goldman Sachs ($GS), Morgan Stanley ($MS)
* Frontier Exposure “For The Long Haul”: SpaceX ($SPCX)
Non-Consensus Longs:
* Cannabis: $MSOS, $VRNOD, $TRLV, $GTBIF, $GLAS
* Private Equity: Apollo ($APO), Blackstone ($BX), KKR ($KKR)
* Consumer Staples: Kimberly-Clark ($KMB), PepsiCo ($PEP), Procter & Gamble ($PG)
Positions:
Long MSOS (L), VRNOD (S), TRLV (S), GTIBF (S), GLAS (S), APO (S), BX (S), KKR (S), KMB (S), PEP (S), PG (S)
Short SPCX (VS), SNDK (VS), MU (VS), INTC (VS), AMAT (VS), AMD (VS), CAT (VS)
Nasdaq, the S&P and even the Russell are all up; but here’s why I think they’ll come back down to earth.
Added to private equity longs – all of them are a couple off the intraday highs:
* BX ($BX) $121.64
*KKR ($KKR) $94.26
*APO ($APO) $118.95
Positions: Long BX S KKR S APO S
I’m adding to private equity longs:
* $APO $118.22
* $BX $119.37
* $KKR $92.44
An investment and not a trade.
Position: Long APO (S), BX (S), KKR (S)
With both companies, we see reasons why management guidance skews conservative.