High-Stakes Fighting in Hormuz; Hostage to Hynix; Fading ‘Memory’ Basket?
Here’s how I’m handling my memory/storage trades as DRAM ETF, stocks like SanDisk take a hit; also let’s check Iran, the Fed and bank earnings.
New AMD Price Target as Earnings Estimates Grow
Advanced Micro Devices is turning heads on Wall Street with earnings on the horizon.
Still Short My High-Beta, High-Tech Basket
I am still short my high-beta, high-tech basket which includes these names (and others): Intel ($INTC), Micron ($MU), SanDisk ($SNDK), Applied Materials ($AMAT), Advanced Micro Devices ($AMD), Caterpillar ($CAT), CoreWeave ($CRWV).
Position: Short INTC (S), MU (S), SNDK (S), AMAT (S), AMD (S), CAT (S), CRWV (S).
The Meta Effect, Semis Surge, Wall Street Says, ‘What War?’
Markets brush off fighting with Iran as Meta talks about making its own AI chips; South Korea’s SK Hynix lists on Nasdaq; I give a chart checkup on the market.
Chip Heavyweight Hynix Projected for $28 Billion Record IPO
Shares in the Korean semiconductor firm are set to list on Friday and raise a record amount for a company based outside of the U.S.
Selling Rackspace After Guidance Cut Drives a Change of Strategy
The firm cut guidance and then announced a pivot, so we’re going to trim the position before entering the red.
Examining ‘Group Stink’
* And fading it…
I don’t own and am currently short (and have been recently short C, JPM, GS, MS, UBER, NFLX, homebuilders, etc.) some of the most consensus sectors.
I am long some of the most non-consensus sectors.
Consensus Longs:
* Memory: SanDisk ($SNDK), Micron ($MU), Intel ($INTC), AMD ($AMD), Applied Materials ($AMAT) (“it’s different this time”)
* Value Tech: Adobe ($ADBE), Oracle ($ORCL), ServiceNow ($NOW) and Nvidia ($NVDA)
* Tech With Biggest Moat: Apple ($AAPL)
* Value Industrial: Caterpillar ($CAT)
* Best Overall Value: Homebuilders
* Streaming: Netflix ($NFLX)
* Autonomous: Uber ($UBER)
* Entertainment: Disney ($DIS)
* Financials: JPMorgan ($JPM), Citigroup ($C), Goldman Sachs ($GS), Morgan Stanley ($MS)
* Frontier Exposure “For The Long Haul”: SpaceX ($SPCX)
Non-Consensus Longs:
* Cannabis: $MSOS, $VRNOD, $TRLV, $GTBIF, $GLAS
* Private Equity: Apollo ($APO), Blackstone ($BX), KKR ($KKR)
* Consumer Staples: Kimberly-Clark ($KMB), PepsiCo ($PEP), Procter & Gamble ($PG)
Positions:
Long MSOS (L), VRNOD (S), TRLV (S), GTIBF (S), GLAS (S), APO (S), BX (S), KKR (S), KMB (S), PEP (S), PG (S)
Short SPCX (VS), SNDK (VS), MU (VS), INTC (VS), AMAT (VS), AMD (VS), CAT (VS)
Bad ‘Memory’!; I’m Trimming & Bailing on These Tech Stocks; Peace … Out?
It’s looking tough out there on several fronts, including on Iran, the storage/memory stocks like SanDisk and Seagate, and tech names like Intel.
Not Losing My Memory Shorts
In response to some subscriber emails I am maintaining a small portion of my high-beta, high-tech short package – including (but not restricted to ($SNDK), ($MU), ($CAT), ($INTC), ($AMD), ($AMAT), ($CRWV) etc.)
Positions: Short Package VS (including stocks mentioned above)
‘Logic’ Tells Me to Buy Lam Research, but Not Yet
LRCX will be a good stock to buy and maybe soon, but not this morning. Here’s how I’d approach this tech winner.