Subscriber Comment of the Day (And My Response)

Johnthegreek

With all due respect to my friend Doug, if “being early” means missing out on profits it is not “right as rain.”

I think DK may agree. 

Dougie Kass

jtg

Like some, I don’t dwell on the mistakes I have made in the past.  There is no percentage in doing that.

As I regularly write I make many mistakes and I am always in doubt.

I show my own primary analysis for subscribers and they can determine the merit. (Unlike others I don’t rely entirely on AI to explain my positions, I do it “bottoms us and top down.” And unlike others I don’t repeat the same thought/criticism ad nauseum – it becomes a “cause” for those people.)

I show most of my trades and investments in real time.

I admit to my mistakes and I try to limit the self congratulations.

To me, it is my analysis that has value to subscribers – as I often provide a logical, thoughtful and contrarian view.  From there, subs should use their own knowledge, rely on others that they trust and weight all this in coming down to investment conclusions.

dougie

Tweet of the Day (Part Deux)

Position: None

Covered My Tech Shorts

I covered the balance of my individual technology shorts for some good profits:

* $AMD $416.30 (-$6)

* $NVDA  $221.08

* $MU  $$680.95 (-$42)

* $SNDK $1,291.61 (-$115)

* $INTC $106.42 (-$2)

Position: None

Boockvar on Builder Sentiment

From Peter Boockvar:

Builder sentiment a bit better but mood still sour

The May NAHB home builder sentiment survey rose 3 pts to 37 and better than the estimate of no change but still remaining well below the breakeven of 50. The key component that is Prospective Buyers Traffic on the demand side rose 3 pts after falling by a like amount in April but at just 25, it’s half the breakeven level.

The NAHB said “The housing market remains soft as higher mortgage rates, rising gas prices and economic uncertainty related to the war in Iran continue to dampen buyer demand.”

On what builders are doing to drive better demand, “The latest HMI survey also revealed that 32% of builders cut prices in May, down from 36% in April. The average price reduction was 6%, up from the 5% figure in April. The use of sales incentives was 61% in May, up slightly from 60% in April, and marking the 14th consecutive month this share has reached 60% or higher.”

Bottom line, nothing new here as we know all about the affordability challenges that particularly afflicts the young first time buyer. And now we have another move up again in mortgage rates.

NAHB

Prospective Buyers Traffic

Position: None

Buying Back Into Weed

This morning I bought back $MSOS at $4.36. 

I correctly wrote recently (after the president’s rescheduling update) that retail didn’t likely have the firepower to sustain a rally in cannabis.

This turned out prescient as MSOS is -20% from just 10 days ago.

Nonetheless, we are moving rapidly towards a broader rescheduling and, after all, everything has a price.  

I am also adding to $VRNO, $GTIBF, $GLASF and $TSNDF.

Position: Long MSOS (S), GITB (VS), TSNDF (VS) GLASF (S), VRNO (VS)

Staples Paying Off

Friday’s consumer staples paying off on Monday.

From Friday:

Long Staples

I have moved to medium-sized long (from small) in (PEP), (KMB) and (PG) this morning.

Positions: Long PEP M KMB M PG M

BY Doug Kass · May 15, 2026, 10:29 AM EDT

Positions: Long PEP M KMB M PG M

Covering 1/2 Tech Shorts

Covering half of my tech shorts:

AMD ($AMD) $415.24 (-$9)

MU ($MU) $694.96 (-$30)

INTC  ($INTC) $107.04 (-$1.50)

SNDK $1316 (-$91) 

Positions: Short AMD VS MU VS INTC VS SNDK VS 

Covered Index Shorts for Quick Profit

I covered my Index shorts on the reversal for a quick and nice profit:

* SPY ($SPY) $738.43
* QQQ ($QQQ) $707.69

From earlier:

DDougie Kass

39m ago

Added to Index shorts:  

SPY $741.03

QQQ $712.72

Positions: None.