It’s God’s Plan

As I wrote at the prior market peak, there is where we stand in terms of investor sentiment:

“Once a bull market gets underway and once you reach the point where everybody has made money no matter what system he or she followed, a crowd is attracted into the game that is responding not to interest rates and profits but simply to the fact that it seems a mistake be out of stocks. In effect, these people superimpose an I-can’t-miss-the-party factor on top of the fundamental factors that drive the market. Like Pavlov’s dog, these “investors” learn that when the bell rings – in this case, the one that opens the New York Stock Exchange at 9:30 AM – they get fed. Through this daily reinforcement, they become convinced that there is a God and that He wants them to get rich.”

– Warren Buffett, November 1999

Position: None

Monday Premarket Trading

I purchased $MSFT at $382.17 on weakness Friday.

I am selling some in the premarket at $398.10 — nearly +$16/share higher.

From Friday:

Buying Back Two Stocks

I just bought back:

 * MSFT (MSFT) $382.71

Positions: Long AMZN S MSFT S

BY Doug Kass · Jun 12, 2026, 9:47 AM EDT

Position: Long MSFT (VS)

BY Doug Kass · Jun 12, 2026, 11:25 AM EDT

Position: Long AMZN (S), MSFT (S)

Back to Overbought

The S&P Short Range Oscillator is back to overbought at 1.1% vs. -0.1%

Position: Short SPY (S), QQQ (S)

Overnight Trading

I moved from VS to S in index shorts overnight, coincident with the strong rally in stock futures (+96 handles S&P +655 Nasdaq :

* $SPY $751.25
* $QQQ $737.20

Position: Short SPY (S), QQQ (S)

Friday’s Closing Market Stats

Closing Volume

– NYSE volume 10% below its one-month average
– NASDAQ volume 7% above its one-month average
– VIX index: down 9.31% to 17.63

Breadth

S&P 500 Sectors

% Movers

Position: None

The News Is Out

Now that the SpaceX ($SPCX) IPO has occurred I am back shorting the beneficiaries of that transaction:

* $GS $1067.89

* &MS $215.15

Position: Short GS (VS), MS (VS)