I think that is the leading indicator. Although I would modify the subtweet a bit.
This also means the revenue growth is flattening. The spike we had that really kicked off this last rally was artificial. It was unsustainable tokenmaxxing (and apparently Anthropic also had a big 1x pull in of revenue in Q3, if I remember correctly). The consumer quickly found out they were doing the opposite of gaining productivity, they were costing themselves more money than the humans they had.
So it has been stopped. Then the biz also started shifting to China/Open Source as well. A double whammy.
No wonder SpaceX ($SPCX) and Meta ($META) are selling excess capacity all of the sudden… and why Blackstone ($BX) is rumored to be stopping data center projects, for example.
Doug Kass is a world-renowned hedge fund manager with decades of experience and success navigating through some of the most turbulent periods in market history. He is known for his time-tested analytical skills and ability to look past the current noise and herd mentality.
On TheStreet Pro, Kass provides frequent market commentary and investing ideas for active investors throughout each trading day in Doug’s Daily Diary. He also serves as president of Seabreeze Partners Management Inc. Previously, he served as a senior manager at Omega Advisors, a $6 billion investment partnership. He co-authored a book with Ralph Nader and the Center for the Study of Responsive Law called “Citibank: The Ralph Nader Report” and can be found as a guest host on CNBC's "Squawk Box."
A Note from Doug: Current strategies and actionable trade ideas -- all on one dynamic platform built exclusively for active trades. From sudden sell-offs to sudden spikes, TheStreet Pro arms you with crucial analysis -- at a rapid fire, professional pace -- to help you make sound trading decisions -- every day, every hour, and every minute. Join me and my team of professional traders for unique perspectives and breakthrough investment opportunities.
