Recommended Reading
Knowledge@Wharton… America at 250 America at 250: Innovations That Transformed Business – Knowledge at Wharton
Positions: None
Knowledge@Wharton… America at 250 America at 250: Innovations That Transformed Business – Knowledge at Wharton
Positions: None
Trump favors diplomacy with Iran, Nike’s continued challenges, Citi cuts its crypto outlook, and other headlines moving stocks this morning.
Let’s pop open the hood and look at the market in June and Q2 to zero in on the winners; also, why we must watch the new Fed head closely today.
I received a number of emails from subscribers who don’t understand why I refuse to discuss the constituents of my high-beta tech short basket:
* I am not making investment recommendations — I am simply showing what, in principle I am doing.
* I show my weightings (S, M, L) as an indication of my confidence level, among other factors. It also reflects the risk appetite/discipline I have incorporated in the conservative way I manage Seabreeze Partners.
* If I was to mention the names in the basket — particularly since many of the stocks move plus or minus 10% a day — it would likely be interpreted as a recommendation.
* I don’t feel most retail traders/investors should short stocks for the reasons I have discussed over the last 28 years. This is especially true of these high-beta and volatile stocks.
* When I put on an aggressive short (like this) it should indicate how bearish I am and how unfavorable I view reward vs. risk. That’s the message that I am communicating.
* Frankly it is not hard to figure out several of the constituents in my tech short basket, but I’ll leave it to your imagination.
Position: Short High-Beta Tech Basket
The S&P 500 gained 15% and the Nasdaq 21% in Q2, but Q3 presents substantial challenges as three big issues come into play.
Position: None
We sit down with TheStreet Pro contributor Bob Lang to learn more about his experience and how he created the FANG acronym.
* I was very active on the short side yesterday
On the last day of trading for the month and quarter, S&P futures rose as high as +65 handles in what seemed like an algo-driven markup — and closed about +41 handles (as it dropped about 20 handles in the last few minutes).
This morning S&P futures are -30 handles.
Ignored throughout Tuesday was a sharp rise in yields:
TLT low of the day, yields at the high of the day as quarter-end markups started early in the equity markets.
Position: None
BY Doug Kass · Jun 30, 2026, 1:09 PM EDT
As posted in my Diary, fearful of a quarter-end mark-up, I shorted equities more aggresssively yesterday — but on a scale higher (giving the market a wider berth) than I have in several weeks:
* Most notably, on strength and steadily through the day I moved from very small sized to small sized to medium sized index shorts ($SPY and $QQQ).
* I put on three tranches of my high-octane tech short basket yesterday. I can’t remember when I did so aggressively in the past but it reflects my view of the exceptionally poor reward vs. risk on the market darlings.
* I added meaningfully to my $GRNY short and added to $JOET short.
* On the buy side I added to $PEP and $PG, which should prosper in a correction.
* With the rescheduling of cannabis hearings going so well, I added to individual weed longs. The group looks like it might finally be breaking out of a range.
Position: Long PEP (S), PG (S), VRNOD (S), GLAS (S), GTBIF (S), TRLV (S), CURLD (VS); Short SPY (M), QQQ (M), GRNY (M), JOET (S), High-Beta Tech Basket
THE S&P Short Range Oscillator remains in a small overbought at 1.34% vs. 1.73%.
The Oscillator has basically been small overbought throughout the month of June.
Position: Short SPY (M), QQQ (N)