More Bullish Tech Headlines

In addition to the well-received SpaceX ($SPCX) headlines detailed last night (SpaceX Climbs as Musk Floats Tesla Merger), some other stories are boosting Tech shares this morning:

Shares of server maker Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) are up over 12% premarket after the firm released preliminary quarterly numbers for the period ending September 30, saying it expects revenue of $18.5 billion to $19.5 billion for the quarter. That compares with its earlier forecast of $14.5 billion to $15.5 billion and an average analyst estimate of about $15 billion. The company also raised its gross margin forecast to 12% to 12.5%, from 10.4% to 10.8%

In addition, the Wall Street Journal is reporting that Anthropic’s draft prospectus signals coming spending on computer and power of as much as $750 billion in coming years, with $111 billion on contracts with Alphabet’s Google Cloud ($GOOGL), $110 billion with Amazon Web Services ($AMZN) and $31 billion with Microsoft ($MSFT) “regardless of actual usage.”

Anthropic also agreed to spend up to $86 billion renting Nvidia ($NVDA) chips from smaller AI cloud providers Nscale and Lambda.

And sales are growing at a blistering pace. The Journal reported revenues had grown to $16.3 billion in the six months ended June 30, up from $1.1 billion in the year-earlier period. That outpaced the nearly $9 billion on computing capacity and infrastructure, up from $2.3 billion.

Still it recorded a net loss of $80.7 billion, the vast majority ($72 billion) “tied to changes in the value of convertible notes and other instruments the company issued to raise funding.”

And finally, several Asian countries with large tech exposure (South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) are reporting strong export numbers led by semiconductor and other Tech shipments.

  • Bloomberg reports that South Korea’s exports the first 20 days of October, adjusted for working-day differences, rose 65.9% from a year earlier. While down from the 89.8% increase during the same period in September, it is otherwise a record. Semiconductors surged 222.5% from a year, while products increased 68.3%, and automobile exports almost 41%.
  • Also from Bloomberg, Japan’s September export growth rose 16.7% from a year earlier. While it missed expectations for a 21.2% increase, shipments of semiconductors and chip-making equipment surged 49.4% and 43.9% respectively (autos were +15.1%). Shipments to the US gained 22.9%. Those to China and the European Union advanced 8.6% and 10.5%, respectively.
  • Reuters reports that Taiwan’s export orders jumped 62.4% in September to a record $114.21 billion “credited to strong demand for AI, high-performance computing and cloud services applications.” The Ministry of Economic Affairs forecast October as rising between 62% and 67%. “Taiwan’s orders ​in September for telecoms products were up 87.3% from ​a ⁠year earlier, while those for electronic products jumped 71.0%.”

Netflix Down, SpaceX Up: Upside/Downside Movers in the A.M.

Upside

– $SMCI +12% (preliminary fiscal Q1 revenue outlook was raised well above expectations, with gross-margin upside)

– $SPCX +8.2% (Q3 revenue and profit crushed expectations, marking its first quarterly profit since the IPO, while special committees evaluate a potential TSLA merger)

– $CRDO +7.2%, $VRT +6.7%, $DELL +6.9%, $LITE +5.6%, $HPE +5.0%, $COHR +4.6% (AI-infrastructure suppliers rise as the SMCI outlook and SPCX AI-compute results reinforce data-center demand)

– $WDC +4.0%, $SKHY +3.7%, $SNDK +3.7%, $STX +3.6%, $MU +3.1% (memory and storage names gain on the stronger AI-infrastructure demand read-through)

– $APLD +4.0% (Texas AI data-center agreement and bullish analyst action)

– $INTC +2.3%, AMD +2.1%, $NVDA +2.0% (chip stocks rise as strong AI-compute and server demand updates lift the broader complex)

– $TSLA +1.4% (special committee formed with SPCX to evaluate a potential merger ahead of earnings)

Downside

– $TKNO -30% ($40M primary offering priced at $5 per share, a steep discount to the prior close)

– $NFLX -7.0% (Q3 profit beat, but the Q4 sales outlook missed and the 2026 advertising-revenue forecast was cut to $2.7B from $3B)

– $ISRG -6.7% (Q3 beat, but U.S. procedure growth slowed, instrument pricing reductions were outlined and the high end of the procedure-growth outlook was cut)

– $T -5.6% (Q3 beat and FY EPS guidance was raised, but postpaid phone additions missed expectations amid satellite-competition concerns)

– $DHR -3.6% (Q3 beat and FY EPS guidance was raised, but the Q4 core-growth outlook remained modest with a respiratory-revenue headwind)

– $TMO -3.0% (sell-the-news reaction after a Q3 beat and raised FY guidance)

– $ACN -1.5% (Baird downgrades to Neutral from Outperform on valuation and slower organic growth)

Select Upside, Downside Movers in the Morning

Upside

– $IRON +52% (Phase 3 APOLLO trial met all primary and secondary endpoints in erythropoietic protoporphyria)

– $AAME +41% (long-delayed 2025 annual report was filed, showing a return to annual profitability)

– $XLAB +24% (extends rally after securing an $8.2M AI-server order)

– $TCRT +20% (extends volatile rally tied to a proposed acquisition and financing of up to $350M)

– $MEDS +15% (extends rally after outlining peptide-compounding expansion and licensing a direct-to-consumer GLP-1 platform)

– $CLF +11% (Q3 profit and EBITDA beat expectations, Q4 EBITDA was guided higher and 2027 EBITDA is expected to exceed $4B)

– $NBIS +7.5%, $CRWV +7.7%, $BE +5.2%, $SMCI +4.1%, $IREN +5.9% (AI-infrastructure names rebound from last week’s financing-driven selloff as Treasury yields ease)

– $CRDO +4.7%, $TER +5.1%, $LRCX +4.6%, $AMD +3.7%, $MU +3.7%, $AVGO +3.1% (chip names rebound from last week’s AI-led selloff ahead of key sector earnings)

– $INTC +4.3% (JPMorgan upgrades to Neutral from Underweight as confidence in the turnaround improves)

– $VAI +4.0% (agrees to acquire an 18MW Ohio computing center)

– $DDOG +3.9% (Bernstein upgrades to Outperform and sharply raises its price target on stronger AI-consumption trends)

Downside

– $ACTU -9.1% (files to sell 40M shares with 20M warrants)