NOW Down, EBAY Up: Upside, Downside Movers in the Morning

Upside

– $GKOS +16% (record Q3 sales and a large FY revenue-guidance raise topped expectations)

– $INSM +14% (BRINSUPRI revenue grew 29% sequentially and guidance was raised for both BRINSUPRI and ARIKAYCE)

– $NCLH +12% (Q3 results topped guidance and the FY EBITDA and EPS outlooks were raised)

– $CVNA +8.4% (large Q3 revenue beat and accelerating retail-unit growth outweighed an EPS miss)

– $CMG +8.3% (Q3 comparable sales beat expectations despite a modest profit miss)

– $DASH +6.9% (record GOV, revenue and net income alongside an agreed $17B acquisition of CART)

– $LITE +6.9% (MRVL is reportedly in advanced acquisition talks, with a deal potentially announced next week)

– $EBAY +6.1% (Q3 revenue and GMV growth accelerated, reinforcing improving marketplace momentum)

– $HII +5.6% (record Q3 revenue, $32.4B of contract awards and higher FY shipbuilding-revenue guidance)

– $LLY +5.1% (annual revenue guidance topped expectations)

– $NVS +3.2% (2026 core operating-income guidance was raised despite a drug-trial write-down)

– $RCL +3.5%, CCL +3.0% (cruise names rise after NCLH beat and raised its FY outlook)

– $MSFT +1.1% (strong cash flow and cloud guidance signaled better returns from heavy AI investment)

Downside

– FTNT -27% (headline beat and raised guidance failed to offset sharply slowing product growth and concerns the refresh cycle is fading)

– NOW -19% (strong topline results were overshadowed by softer forward cRPO expectations and unfavorable renewal phasing)

– HLN -14% (Q3 organic sales missed and FY organic-growth guidance was cut to around 2.5%)

– OSK -13% (quarter missed and FY revenue and EPS guidance were cut as fire-truck production problems persisted)

– MRVL -12% (reported talks to acquire LITE sparked concerns over deal cost and execution risk)

– $CAT -11% (quarter beat, but the margin outlook and durability of AI-infrastructure demand fell short of elevated expectations)

– $GOOGL -11% (Q3 profit and revenue missed as softer search advertising and surging AI spending intensified cash-burn concerns)

– $EGO -10% (2026 gold-production guidance was cut and cost outlooks were raised amid a slower Skouries ramp)

– $CTSH -10% (Q3 beat, but the FY revenue-growth outlook narrowed and Q4 growth guidance disappointed)

– $SCI -8.9% (Q3 earnings missed and guidance was cut)

– $ZS -7.1%, $OKTA -7.5%, $PANW -6.8%, $RBRK -6.8%, $CRWD -6.8%, $SAIL -8.0% (cybersecurity names fall on FTNT’s product-growth slowdown and refresh-cycle concerns)

– $NBIS -6.7%, $CRWV -6.4%, $STRL -6.6% (AI-infrastructure names retreat as $GOOGL’s spending surge renews concerns about monetization and cash returns)

– $HUBS -6.5%, $TEAM -6.9%, $CRM -5.8%, $TYL -5.8%, $WDAY -6.1% (enterprise-software names weaken after NOW’s forward cRPO and renewal outlook disappointed)

Understanding My Trading Moves

The following posts (in case you left early on Wednesday!) helps to explain why I got shorter (on strength yesterday) — remember I covered my index shorts on the whoosh lower at around 11 p.m. last night to take a quick profit!

PPS

Bookings shrunk and backlog did not grow!

The after-market move in Microsoft ($MSFT) reminds me of the up move Meta ($META) had based on the print and earnings per share, before the market figured out the internals — and then hammered the stock.

Obviously Google ($GOOGL) wet the bed too:

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/msft-rises-azure-beat-bookings-shrink-and-backlog-stalls

Position: None

BY Doug Kass · Oct 28, 2026, 4:55 PM EDT

Market Postscript

* Here are my thoughts following the plethora of EPS releases after the close…

With Google’s ($GOOGL) miss (the deceleration in its core business was unanticipated by every panelist on “the show”), Meta’s ($META) continued awful share price action, Nvidia’s ($NVDA) price rollover threatening chart support, Amazon’s ($AMZN) lackluster share price action (and underperformance) and some possible toppiness in Apple’s ($AAPL) share price, we are left with one… Microsoft ($MSFT).

Meanwhile, ServiceNow’s ($NOW) disappointing results (the company cut subscription revenues for the full year) will likely weigh heavily on software stocks (which were market leaders) tomorrow morning.

I remain independent in view.

As I said in response to subscriber jryan, most stocks do not meet my standards to buy and I won’t change my process or discipline — even if Perma Bulls Tom Lee and Dan Ives (confidently) see clear skies ahead…

The S&P Short Range Oscillator registered 1.84% (more overbought than the prior day) and I ended the day with a large short position in SPY

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Position: Short SPY (L)

BY Doug Kass · Oct 28, 2026, 4:51 PM EDT

Now Large-Sized on SPY Short

I have moved to large-sized SPY short at $774.19.

Position: Short SPY (L)

BY Doug Kass · Oct 28, 2026, 4:11 PM EDT

Adding to Shorts

Bonds down, crude oil up.

I am adding to shorts.

Position: Short SPY (M)

BY Doug Kass · Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM EDT

Positions: None