From Meltdown to Manic Monday: Erratic Tech Trade, Peace-Fire, Grumbling Chart
Let’s check the latest on the supposed peace deal, make sense of the hot-and-cold tech trade, and sort through the crowded IPO filings.
Let’s check the latest on the supposed peace deal, make sense of the hot-and-cold tech trade, and sort through the crowded IPO filings.
A flood of events will soak up liquidity in exactly the sector that needs support.
It’s very interesting.
I suppose Nvidia ($NVDA) is not too different than Strategy’s Michael Saylor.
Does Nvidia run a business, or a stock? Is Jensen Huang a CEO or an equity market strategist and stock promoter?
Jensen Huang is obviously brilliant. He knows nearly the whole sector is a circular financing that has become too big for him to keep financing himself. It is now moving from being dependent on privately funded circular financing deals and the nuttiness of the credit markets, to needing the amounts of capital that only the equity markets can provide. Google ($GOOGL) and Meta ($META) have just implicitly told you that too, via their equity sales and theoretical planned equity sales. Open AI has told us it is even graver and more desperate than I suggest, because the company apparently is already back to begging the government again for money.
At any rate if all of one significant down day in the equity markets is enough to spook the Nvidia CEO into full Saylor waving pom-poms mode, it shows you they all know how desperate the situation is and how dependent the scheme is for fresh capital inflows at greater scale from the public markets to keep the game going.
The Nasdaq advances by +300% (and multiples are in unheard of territory) and then down 4% — and it is a “selloff” and a buying opportunity?

Positions: None.
Three stories played a much bigger role in the weakness than either Iran or rates.
The data and statistics say we should see more corrective action, but we also got one or two extremes from Friday’s action.
Let’s scan through the headlines for the stories of the week that speak to our Pro Portfolio holdings.
We locked in big gains, raised a few price targets, and extended our lead over the S&P 500 this week.
When else in history have equities traded at record highs while consumer sentiment readings were at record lows?
Hong Kong has been a key route for mainland Chinese citizens to get their money out of the grasp of the Communist Party.
Ciena sees its addressable market doubling over the next several years.