The Memory Rout

I am covering some of my high-beta/high-tech positions in my short basket now:

* $CRWV $74.91 (-$5)

* $AMD $512.45 (-36) 

* $MU $879.74 (-$104)

* $INTC $99.53 (-$8)

* $SNDK $1,498 (-$259)

* $AMAT $559.96 (-$36)

* $CAT $892.69  (-$41)

Position: Short CRWV (VS), AMD (VS), MU (VS), INTC (VS), SNDK (VS), AMAT (VS), CAT (VS)

The Casino Is Open

The imbalance and spastic relationship between memory/semis (weak) vis-à-vis hyperscalers (strong) continue today.

Like a baby splashing in a bathtub, the situation is changing daily.

Tough to evaluate and trade on an intraday basis.

I am long ($AMZN), ($GOOGL) and ($MSFT) and I am short a basket of semis and memory stocks (e.g ($MU) ($SNDK) ($INTC) ($AMD) ($AMAT).

Positions: Long AMZN VS GOOGL VS MSFT VS; short MU VS SNDK VS INTC VS AMD VS AMAT VS 

Still Short My High-Beta, High-Tech Basket

I am still short my high-beta, high-tech basket which includes these names (and others): Intel ($INTC), Micron ($MU), SanDisk ($SNDK), Applied Materials ($AMAT), Advanced Micro Devices ($AMD), Caterpillar ($CAT), CoreWeave ($CRWV).

Position: Short INTC (S), MU (S), SNDK (S), AMAT (S), AMD (S), CAT (S), CRWV (S).

Examining ‘Group Stink’

And fading it…

I don’t own and am currently short (and have been recently short C, JPM, GS, MS, UBER, NFLX, homebuilders, etc.) some of the most consensus sectors.

I am long some of the most non-consensus sectors.

Consensus Longs:

* Memory: SanDisk ($SNDK), Micron ($MU), Intel ($INTC), AMD ($AMD), Applied Materials ($AMAT) (“it’s different this time”)

* Value Tech: Adobe ($ADBE), Oracle ($ORCL), ServiceNow ($NOW) and Nvidia ($NVDA)

* Tech With Biggest Moat: Apple ($AAPL)

* Value Industrial: Caterpillar ($CAT)

* Best Overall Value: Homebuilders

* Streaming: Netflix ($NFLX)

* Autonomous: Uber ($UBER)

* Entertainment: Disney ($DIS)

* Financials: JPMorgan ($JPM), Citigroup ($C), Goldman Sachs ($GS), Morgan Stanley ($MS) 

* Frontier Exposure “For The Long Haul”: SpaceX ($SPCX)

Non-Consensus Longs:

* Cannabis: $MSOS, $VRNOD, $TRLV, $GTBIF, $GLAS

* Private Equity: Apollo ($APO), Blackstone ($BX), KKR ($KKR)

* Consumer Staples: Kimberly-Clark ($KMB), PepsiCo ($PEP), Procter & Gamble ($PG)

Positions:

Long MSOS (L), VRNOD (S), TRLV (S), GTIBF (S), GLAS (S), APO (S), BX (S), KKR (S), KMB (S), PEP (S), PG (S)

Short SPCX (VS), SNDK (VS), MU (VS), INTC (VS), AMAT (VS), AMD (VS), CAT (VS)

 

Not Losing My Memory Shorts

In response to some subscriber emails I am maintaining a small portion of my high-beta, high-tech short package – including (but not restricted to ($SNDK), ($MU), ($CAT), ($INTC), ($AMD), ($AMAT), ($CRWV) etc.)

Positions: Short Package VS (including stocks mentioned above)

Short Basket Update

Another leg lower for momentum, high beta tech (part of my short basket).

I am sticking with the remainder of the basket even though some of the drops have been dramatic:

Today’s Selected Price Changes in Short Basket 

* SNDK ($SNDK) -$255

* CAT ($CAT) -$58

* CRWV ($CRWV) -$15

* INTC ($INTC) -$11

* MU ($MU) -$98

Position: Short Basket