Chip Heavyweight Hynix Projected for $28 Billion Record IPO
Shares in the Korean semiconductor firm are set to list on Friday and raise a record amount for a company based outside of the U.S.
Examining ‘Group Stink’
* And fading it…
I don’t own and am currently short (and have been recently short C, JPM, GS, MS, UBER, NFLX, homebuilders, etc.) some of the most consensus sectors.
I am long some of the most non-consensus sectors.
Consensus Longs:
* Memory: SanDisk ($SNDK), Micron ($MU), Intel ($INTC), AMD ($AMD), Applied Materials ($AMAT) (“it’s different this time”)
* Value Tech: Adobe ($ADBE), Oracle ($ORCL), ServiceNow ($NOW) and Nvidia ($NVDA)
* Tech With Biggest Moat: Apple ($AAPL)
* Value Industrial: Caterpillar ($CAT)
* Best Overall Value: Homebuilders
* Streaming: Netflix ($NFLX)
* Autonomous: Uber ($UBER)
* Entertainment: Disney ($DIS)
* Financials: JPMorgan ($JPM), Citigroup ($C), Goldman Sachs ($GS), Morgan Stanley ($MS)
* Frontier Exposure “For The Long Haul”: SpaceX ($SPCX)
Non-Consensus Longs:
* Cannabis: $MSOS, $VRNOD, $TRLV, $GTBIF, $GLAS
* Private Equity: Apollo ($APO), Blackstone ($BX), KKR ($KKR)
* Consumer Staples: Kimberly-Clark ($KMB), PepsiCo ($PEP), Procter & Gamble ($PG)
Positions:
Long MSOS (L), VRNOD (S), TRLV (S), GTIBF (S), GLAS (S), APO (S), BX (S), KKR (S), KMB (S), PEP (S), PG (S)
Short SPCX (VS), SNDK (VS), MU (VS), INTC (VS), AMAT (VS), AMD (VS), CAT (VS)
Bad ‘Memory’!; I’m Trimming & Bailing on These Tech Stocks; Peace … Out?
It’s looking tough out there on several fronts, including on Iran, the storage/memory stocks like SanDisk and Seagate, and tech names like Intel.
Not Losing My Memory Shorts
In response to some subscriber emails I am maintaining a small portion of my high-beta, high-tech short package – including (but not restricted to ($SNDK), ($MU), ($CAT), ($INTC), ($AMD), ($AMAT), ($CRWV) etc.)
Positions: Short Package VS (including stocks mentioned above)
With Inflation Heading Lower, We Can Expect a Midterm Rate Cut
A combination of lower inflation and improved data sources will push the Fed to cut interest rates soon.
Short Basket Update
Another leg lower for momentum, high beta tech (part of my short basket).
I am sticking with the remainder of the basket even though some of the drops have been dramatic:
Today’s Selected Price Changes in Short Basket
* SNDK ($SNDK) -$255
* CAT ($CAT) -$58
* CRWV ($CRWV) -$15
* INTC ($INTC) -$11
* MU ($MU) -$98
Position: Short Basket
Semi Shocker; Micron, Intel, AMD Hit Home Runs; Warsh Gets to Work
Let’s pop open the hood and look at the market in June and Q2 to zero in on the winners; also, why we must watch the new Fed head closely today.
Why I’m Eyeing Prices, Biotech and AI in Q3
As the second quarter skims some froth off the technology trade, let’s see why these three areas are key to watch in Q3.
The Market Has No Memory From Day to Day
The problem with shorting (or buying indices) late in the day or in the evening — as I often do — is that the fate of the general market’s opening is determined by the overall movement memory stocks.
And to predict/guess the opening price of $MU, $SNDK, $AMAT, $AMD, $INTC is a “fool’s errand.”
The market has no memory from day to day.
Position: None
Here’s Our New Micron Price Target After It Crushes Earnings Estimates
Not all of the semiconductor manufacturers are looking as good as Micron, however.