An Observation on ‘Newsy’ Events

* Trading opportunistically and dispassionately…

Yesterday, among other activity, we added to shorts in $GRNY, $C and $JPM.

I remain bearish.

Today’s ceasefire news will likely provide an opportunity to cover some shorts — something I like to do in a “newsy” backdrop.

I would anticipate reshorting the inevitable rallies than have followed a breakdown in negotitations with Iran.

Position: Short GRNY (L), C (M), JPM (M) 

Morning Trades

In the premarket gaps/markups I shorted more C ($C) $145.01 and JPM ($JPM) $340.44 (both had price targets raised by UBS: C $150, JPM $384). 
Adding to GRNY ($GRNY) and JOET ($JOET) shorts

Buying MSOS ($MSOS) more aggressively. And individual names.

Positions: Long MSOS L; Short GRNY M JOET S C M JPM M 

Things I Did Today

Here are today’s things:

* Re-shorted indices — $SPY at $748.84 and $QQQ at $722.33.

* Added to $GRNY short at $27.87 — moved to large sized.

* Shorted $JPM $337.81 and $C at $142.90.

* Added to $MSOS at $4.77 and selected individual cannabis shares — $TRLV, $VRNOD, $GTBIF and $GLAS. 

Position: Long MSOS (M), TRLV (S), VRNOD (M), GTBIF (S), GLAS (S); Short JPM (M), C (S), GRNY (L), SPY (S), QQQ (VS)

Short-Term Tactics

* I was very active on the short side yesterday

On the last day of trading for the month and quarter, S&P futures rose as high as +65 handles in what seemed like an algo-driven markup — and closed about +41 handles (as it dropped about 20 handles in the last few minutes).

This morning S&P futures are -30 handles.

Ignored throughout Tuesday was a sharp rise in yields:


Observation

TLT low of the day, yields at the high of the day as quarter-end markups started early in the equity markets.

Position: None

BY Doug Kass · Jun 30, 2026, 1:09 PM EDT


As posted in my Diary, fearful of a quarter-end mark-up, I shorted equities more aggresssively yesterday — but on a scale higher (giving the market a wider berth) than I have in several weeks:

* Most notably, on strength and steadily through the day I moved from very small sized to small sized to medium sized index shorts ($SPY and $QQQ).

* I put on three tranches of my high-octane tech short basket yesterday. I can’t remember when I did so aggressively in the past but it reflects my view of the exceptionally poor reward vs. risk on the market darlings.

* I added meaningfully to my $GRNY short and added to $JOET short.

* On the buy side I added to $PEP and $PG, which should prosper in a correction.

* With the rescheduling of cannabis hearings going so well, I added to individual weed longs. The group looks like it might finally be breaking out of a range.

Position: Long PEP (S), PG (S), VRNOD (S), GLAS (S), GTBIF (S), TRLV (S), CURLD (VS); Short SPY (M), QQQ (M), GRNY (M), JOET (S), High-Beta Tech Basket  

Things I Did Today

Here are today’s things:

* Shorted $SPY at $749.07 and $QQQ at $743.67 — covered SPY at $744.80 and QQQ at $737.99.

* Added to $JOET short at $45.64 and $GRNY short at $27.63. 

* Shorted a package of high-beta tech.

* Shorted more $MS at $227.32.

* Shorted more $IWM at $297.07.

* Added to longs $MSOS at $4.76, $MSOX at $3.00, $GTBIF at $7.55, $VRNOD at $5.55, $CURLD at $9.73 and $TRLV at $9.40.

Position: Long MSOS (L), MSOX (VS), GTBIF (S), VRNOD (S), CURLD (VS), TRLV (S); Short high-beta tech package, JOET (S), GRNY (M), MS (M), IWM (S)