The Consumer Is Spent Up, Not Pent Up

* The cumulative or “stacked” inflation (since 2000) is weighing on the consumer sector

* This, coupled with the shrinking savings rate, is critical to the outlook for equities given the role of consumer spending and the large swath of stocks dependent on the consumer...

Combine the flatlining in real disposable income:

With the dwindling savings rate:

And the outlook for consumer spending over the next 12 months is poor. The shares of Costco ($COST), Walmart ($WMT), Dick’s Sporting Goods ($DKS) and other consumer-related equities already “know this.”

Position: None