Showtime in Wyoming, Great Day for My Book (But Not Breadth), Charting Nvidia
The market will run through Jackson Hole Friday. Here are my thoughts as Kevin Warsh takes the stage.
Things I Did Yesterday
Here are Thursday’s things:
*I shorted $CRWV at $92.32 and covered at $87.98.
* I added to $GRNY short at $28.03.
* I shorted more $JPM at $456.76 and covered my entire position at $362.82.
* New short $CRM at $252.54.
* Shorted $NVDA $226.08 and covered NVDA at $224.04.
* Added to $VRNO at $5.87, to $MSOS long at $4.79 and initiated short-dated call options in MSOS.
* Covered $QQQ short at $715.98.
* Shorted more $SPY $771.22
Position: Long VRNO (M), MSOS (VL), MSOS calls (S); Short SPY (M), NVDA (VS), GRNY (M), CRM (S)
What’s Good for This Chip Giant Isn’t Good for Its Customers
The largest stock in the market held up the indices but there was plenty of weakness under the surface.
New Salesforce Short
New short in $CRM at $251.85.
I have been patiently waiting to short salesforce as i believe, despite management’s protestations, its business model is in jeopardy.
More early next week.
Position: Short CRM (S)
Updating My Shopping List as We Await Warsh at Jackson Hole
Chips and software rally while the rest of the market struggles.
Nvidia Guidance Eases Concerns: 8 Key Items Shaping the Stock Market Thursday
Qatar’s diplomatic efforts, Warsh on deck and other headlines moving the market this morning.
Nvidia Lets the AI Trade Roll, CIA in Moscow, Warsh’s Backyard BBQ
Nvidia’s results beat Wall Street expectations by a mile, signaling the AI trade is alive and well.
That’s a Wrap!
That was a long, tough day. All of that macroeconomic data did nothing to spark the marketplace. We had to wait until the closing bell to see some of the type of action we, as traders, crave.
Equities closed slightly lower on Wednesday as traders awaited Nvidia’s ($NVDA) results, among others. The S&P 500 ended almost flat at -0.02%, while the Nasdaq Composite gave back -0.08%. Can’t make that stuff up.
Five of the 11 S&P sector SPDR ETFs wound up in the green, led by industrials ($XLI). Health Care ($XLV) was the weakest performer among these funds.
Treasury yields climbed. The U.S. 2-Year Treasury yield moved up 3 basis points to 4.21%, while the U.S. 10-Year Note paid 4.65% (+3 bps) by day’s end. The yield on the U.S. 30-Year Treasury yield ticked up 1 basis point to 5.17%.
As I send this note, we are still waiting on Nvidia. CrowdStrike ($CRWD), Okta ($OKTA) and Salesforce ($CRM) have all already reported. The market has react favorably to all three.
Position: Long NVDA, CRWD equity
Intuit Spooks Software Stocks: 8 Key Items Shaping the Stock Market Wednesday
Nvidia earnings, oil prices, PCE, potential settlement talks for Meta, and other headlines are moving the market this morning.
Calm Before Storm as Nvidia Earnings, Data Deluge, Bigger Trade War Loom
Earnings land tonight from NVDA, CrowdStrike and Salesforce, after we get a plethora of economic data and as we deal with Iran and a trade spat with Canada.