I Usually Trade Risky Small Caps. Here’s Why I’m Also in Amazon, SpaceX
Let me explain how I’m playing SPCX and how it fits into my trading style.
Let me explain how I’m playing SPCX and how it fits into my trading style.
Amazon sports three wide moat businesses and almost universally positive analyst coverage. So why isn’t it a buy?
We’ve already got a market-relevant impact on tariffs, but what are the other main points of contention as the “G2” gather?
Elite fundamentals, a decade-low multiple, solid technicals, and analyst enthusiasm all point the same way. So why don’t I own more?
SI will destroy and create major economic shifts. Let’s discuss the emerging investment opportunities.
“Muse personal AI agent is free to use with a generous weekly usage limit (such as up to 100 million tokens per week), though paid subscription tiers are available if you need higher usage capacity.”
– From AI
Not that I am or have been trying to call the stocks, because that is a fool’s errand these days, especially in these types of mania-driven markets. But it is fun to occasionally comment on the markets relative to the underlying fundamentals and business issues.
Monday and Tuesday were a combination of a gamma squeeze aided and abetted by Facebook’s Muse announcement.
For those that don’t know, Muse is Facebook’s personal assistant app, a theoretical AI agent, that made it to the top of the app stores download list, helping to inspire the gamma squeeze rip of the last two days.
Why did it make it to the top of the list? Because it is both new and FREE! (I don’t recall a single person in the business media saying this!)
Hundreds of billions of investment, and this is what they have to show for it? A free, largely non-differentiated personal assistant app that Amazon ($AMZN) has already cut off from shopping its site? And an app, that after the novelty factor wears off, will probably not be used all that much and likely never generate any economics, because it is free and of limited real utility and effectiveness. Guess what, people actually like shopping themselves, that is why they do it!
Heck, even Angry Birds costs money (and generates economics).
My guess, this thing goes the way of the Metaverse and Threads.
If any thing speaks volumes about AI, not sure if it is this, or it is OpenAI spending $22.5 million of compute to win a $1 million prize and needing to cheat along the way to even do that!
Coincidentally per prior on Muse, I just saw these.
The reference to Amazon is their theoretical no human convenience stores where AI was supposed to figure out everything you put in your basket. Turns out they had humans in India watching people on cameras. End of day, none of it ended up working, it lost too much money, and they shut all the stores anyway. Same for McDonald’s ($MCD) automated AI ordering system, where “no onions” seemed problematic for the AI to get right. I guess I was too optimistic, hundreds of billions of investment, and Meta ($META) still needs the humans too, because the AI still does not work.
Trillions of dollars of market cap added across the board due to this? And PS, Meta already paid for the junk they have in place to do this. They would have been better off buying offshore call centers for pennies on the dollar. Incidentally, that is one more thing AI was supposed to replace, but the opposite is happening, because it turns out Gen AI is multiples more expensive than cheap offshore labor.
Position: None
Meta’s Muse AI model, luxury goods expectations and other headlines moving the market this morning.
INTC and AMD ran up big Monday on the sudden popularity of Meta’s Muse AI agent. Let’s chart where these two stocks could be headed.
Buffett steps down, the FCC and SpaceX’s Starlink Mobile and other headlines moving the market this morning.