A Chill Blows Through Wall Street
Summer fun has ended as we enter a seasonally tough month, a potentially volatile October, uncertainty in Iran, and an escalating trade fight with Canada.
Summer fun has ended as we enter a seasonally tough month, a potentially volatile October, uncertainty in Iran, and an escalating trade fight with Canada.
We exited one holding, and added to three others, upgrading one of them along the way.
The Software-as-a-Service (Saas) apocalypse hasn’t arrived, despite the growth of AI.
Here is a pair of lesser-known names that are delivering for investors.
While Nvidia powers higher, market breadth continues to weaken, defensive sectors are losing momentum, and several key indicators remain out of sync.
Wall Street has turned negative on this software giant. Here’s why I’m willing to step in.
* And fading it…
I don’t own and am currently short (and have been recently short C, JPM, GS, MS, UBER, NFLX, homebuilders, etc.) some of the most consensus sectors.
I am long some of the most non-consensus sectors.
Consensus Longs:
* Memory: SanDisk ($SNDK), Micron ($MU), Intel ($INTC), AMD ($AMD), Applied Materials ($AMAT) (“it’s different this time”)
* Value Tech: Adobe ($ADBE), Oracle ($ORCL), ServiceNow ($NOW) and Nvidia ($NVDA)
* Tech With Biggest Moat: Apple ($AAPL)
* Value Industrial: Caterpillar ($CAT)
* Best Overall Value: Homebuilders
* Streaming: Netflix ($NFLX)
* Autonomous: Uber ($UBER)
* Entertainment: Disney ($DIS)
* Financials: JPMorgan ($JPM), Citigroup ($C), Goldman Sachs ($GS), Morgan Stanley ($MS)
* Frontier Exposure “For The Long Haul”: SpaceX ($SPCX)
Non-Consensus Longs:
* Cannabis: $MSOS, $VRNOD, $TRLV, $GTBIF, $GLAS
* Private Equity: Apollo ($APO), Blackstone ($BX), KKR ($KKR)
* Consumer Staples: Kimberly-Clark ($KMB), PepsiCo ($PEP), Procter & Gamble ($PG)
Positions:
Long MSOS (L), VRNOD (S), TRLV (S), GTIBF (S), GLAS (S), APO (S), BX (S), KKR (S), KMB (S), PEP (S), PG (S)
Short SPCX (VS), SNDK (VS), MU (VS), INTC (VS), AMAT (VS), AMD (VS), CAT (VS)
Tech slumping, Nvidia’s latest win, June Flash PMI on deck, and other headlines are moving stocks this morning.
Our eyes are on this Portfolio holding when it comes to Micron’s capex comments.
I’m expecting an oversold rally this week. The question is, will it be successful? It depends on these three charts.