Grading 3 Stocks in the SpaceX Supply Chain Ahead of IPO

Excitement is building for the SpaceX initial public offering. Shares of the aerospace and satellite communications company are expected to be offered to the public for the first time on June 12, under the ticker symbol SPCX. 

SpaceX dominates its field, accounting for 87% of U.S. space launches in 2024. The Elon Musk-led company conducted 170 orbital launches last year, or nearly one every other day. SpaceX has launched over 11,500 Starlink satellites since 2019, 10,000 of which are still currently active.

The SpaceX Supply Chain

SpaceX controls much of its own supply chain, designing and manufacturing a variety of parts and components itself. This tactic evolved from necessity, as SpaceX had difficulty obtaining needed parts and supplies in its early days. 

However, even SpaceX needs a little help from its friends. Let’s take a closer look at some companies that provide the components, parts, and supplies that help SpaceX soar.

1. Materion Corp (MTRN)

Materion has a market capitalization of just $4.62 billion, but its shares are on fire, gaining 72% year-to-date and 180% over the past 12 months. The Ohio-based company supplies SpaceX with niobium metal, which can withstand extreme temperatures, as well as other advanced materials and specialty metals. 

Materion shares traded at an all-time high earlier this week. The stock has formed an A-B-C-D pattern, which projects Materion shares to $275.

GRADE: A-

2. Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS)

Carpenter Technology supplies SpaceX with high-performance specialty metals that are used in Starship and other spacecraft. The Philadelphia-based supplier’s history with the space program extends back to the NASA Apollo missions of the 1960s. 

Carpenter Technology shares closed at an all-time high on Wednesday. The stock has gained 36% year-to-date and 93% over the past 12 months.

Shares of Carpenter Technologies are breaking out of a month-long consolidation (shaded teal). Based on the breakout from that formation, our target for the stock is $525.

GRADE: B+

3. STMicroelectronics (STM)

For the past 10 years, Geneva, Switzerland-based STMicroelectronics has been supplying SpaceX with components. STMicroelectronics provides radio frequency antennae chips, microcontrollers, and secure elements used in Starlink terminals. 

According to its relative strength index (RSI) indicator, STMicroelectronics has been overbought for the past four weeks. The stock has climbed 147% year-to-date, and gained 34% just over the past month. 

What’s the ideal price to buy STMicroelectronics? Ideally, I’d look to buy on a pullback. A 38.2% Fibonacci pullback from the stock’s recent all-time high would place STMicroelectronics at $56.50.

Will the stock drop to that level? This is a momentum stock, so it might not pull back. Aggressive traders could enter a small initial position at current levels, and add on a pullback, if it occurs.

GRADE: B+

At the time of publication, Ponsi was long STI, CRS and MTRN.

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Posted by Ed Ponsi

Ed Ponsi is the managing director of Barchetta Capital Management, an NFA-registered commodity trading advisory, and is also the president of FXEducator. An experienced professional trader, Ponsi has advised a variety of hedge funds and institutional traders. He is a regular contributor to TheStreet Pro and covers a wide range of topics like market sectors and commodities. A self-defined trend follower, Ponsi makes investment decisions based on price and volume. Ponsi has made over 100 appearances on CNBC, CNN, FBN, BBC, and Bloomberg TV. He has been profiled in magazines such as "Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities" and "The Traders Journal." He is the author of several books including "Forex Patterns and Probabilities,” a top-selling book on currency trading that has been translated for release in China; and "The Ed Ponsi Forex Playbook,” which was endorsed by Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics at The Johns Hopkins University. Fun fact about Ponsi: Prior to his career in finance, he used to be a professional musician (lead guitarist!).

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