Charting the S&P 500: Another Setback for the Bulls

It’s a huge week coming up for the stock market, much like in April, with the FOMC meeting converging with important earnings reports. Yet this time around the trend does not look bullish as we continue to move through a weak period for equities.

Why is that?

Historical trends based on several years of data tell us the stock market has a tough time into the fall, and it’s not just “Sell in May and Go Away” that is the reason (though many forget about that as we arrive in midsummer).

Some of the big Magnificent Seven names will report earnings this week, including Microsoft ($MSFT), Meta Platforms ($META), Apple ($AAPL) and Amazon ($AMZN). No doubt investors watched the poor outcome from Alphabet ($GOOGL) and Tesla ($TSLA) and are nervous about how their stocks will perform. It makes sense.

The S&P 500 weekly chart continues to carry a blue candle, so we are still bullish… but hanging by a thread. The MACD is now rolled over but will confirm bearish in another week. Stochastics (momentum) has also rolled over, although money flow remains positive.

It is also the last week of the month, which has been miserable for Nasdaq stocks. Here’s hoping the bulls can turn that around, there are plenty of catalysts to make it happen.

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At the time of publication, TheStreet Pro Portfolio was long MSFT, META, AAPL, AMZN and GOOGL.

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Posted by Bob Lang

Bob Lang is one of the country’s top options traders, an expert market technician, and a highly sought-after mentor and teacher. He is a private trader in equity and option markets and created his own hedge fund and options trading company called Explosive Options. He is also founder and Chief Options Analyst at Aztec Capital, LLC. He has been a regular contributor to TheStreet Pro's paid subscription products since 2009. Lang is both a short-term trader and long-term stock investor. He utilizes technical and fundamental analysis to find investment opportunities. His coverage for TheStreet Pro specializes in options trading, stock investing, and technical analysis. One of Lang’s claims to fame is his creation of the acronym FANG to describe the top tech companies at the time (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google). The acronym has since expanded considerably and is still widely used today. He is the author of the book “Know Your Options” and holds an MBA from the University of Redlands. When he’s not providing financial commentary for TheStreet, he can be found on the tennis court, reading, or traveling.

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