Why This One Thing Has the Biggest Impact on the Long End of Yields
Let’s take a deep dive into bonds and yields, what’s key to watch; also here’s my playbook right now.
A Weird, But ‘Useful’ Way to Think About the Surge of New Bond Issuance
It’s important to think about new investment grade bond issuance as Sec. Scott Bessent confronts the task he has created for himself.
As the Headlines Heat Up, I’m Focused on This Bond Fund and Energy
Summer is ending but the chaotic news flow won’t quit, so here’s my take on current events and how to trade them.
Warsh, Bessent and the Battle for Long-Term Treasury Yields
Let’s discuss what’s pressuring yields, steps that can be taken, and the beneficiaries so far.
When Thinking About Rate Hikes, Something Just Doesn’t Compute
Let’s discuss a base case for rates, market ‘fallacies’ and my outlook across the yield curve.
Rethinking Rate Cuts as Kevin Warsh Works Some Inflation Magic
The new Federal Reserve chair will lean toward cutting interest rates despite calls for a hike.
The Most Important Number in the Jobs Report Isn’t -23,000
In this day and age why are we making key decisions off data that are wild guesses?
With Situational Awareness the Key to This Market, Here Are 5 Trends to Watch
From staggering market cap changes to the AI trade, here is the latest for investors to know.
Five Reasons I’m Real Nervous About the Chip Sector
Cheap Chinese computing, sagging artificial intelligence use and data center backlash are among the reasons I’m wary of the semiconductor sector.
Iran Escalation and AI Spend Leave Me Bearish Despite All-Time Highs
There can’t be much upside left.