Treasury Auctions, Fed Speakers and Econ Calendar

Treasury Auctions

11:30 a.m.: Treasury hosts a $69B 17-Week Bill Auction; 

11:30 a.m.: Treasury hosts a $28B 2-Year FRN (r) Auction; 

1:00 p.m.: Treasury hosts a $70B 5-Year Note Auction

Fed Speakers: 

4:00 a.m.: Fed Bank of Dallas President Logan (Voter) participates in “Policy Panel Discussion 1: Monetary Policy and Imbalances” before the 2026 Monetary Policy from New Perspectives Conference hosted by the Bank of Japan Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Tokyo (Embargoed text available);

3:55 p.m.: Fed Board Governor Cook (Voter) speaks on “AI, the Economy, and the Financial System” before the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR) Policy Forum, Stanford, CA (Text available. Q&A from moderator. Livestream at stanford.zoom.us);

8:00 p.m.: Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson (Voter) participates in “Fireside Chat: Monetary Policy and Supply Shocks” before the 2026 Monetary Policy from New Perspectives Conference hosted by the Bank of Japan Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Tokyo (Text available. Q&A from moderator. No webcast); 

9:10 p.m.: Fed Bank of Chicago President Goolsbee (Non-Voter) Television Appearance – CNBC Squawk Box Asia (Interview to air across Asian markets. Interview excerpts will publish to CNBC Asia website after the interview); 

10:25 p.m.: Fed Bank of Chicago President Goolsbee (Non-Voter) participates in a panel discussion titled “Monetary Policy in a Changing World Economy” at the Bank of Japan Institute for Monetary and Economics Studies Conference, Tokyo (No Live Stream, Embargoed Text) 

Economic Calendar

Positions: None.

The Failure of Social and Business Media

* The last chapter…

Twitter/X has an addictive quality. 

The “discussions” on X mirror the anger that characterizes discourse in this country today.  

As to my constant criticism of the financial media, Fin TV (in particular) prizes the consensus. It favors “first-level thinking” and generally ignores “second-level thinking.” This non-rigorous delivery is effective when the “tide is coming in.”  Not so much in corrections when the “tide is going out.”

Many corners of the media have too often become an echo chamber of opinion. It is sometimes dishonest in the sense that it is not transparent (no timestamps and no ownership for investing/trading boners). But, at this point, I have made this point often enough.  

In case you missed my Tweet of the Day:

Position: None

More Tales From Nvidia: A Lesson on Valuations of Cyclical Equities (Issue #197!)

* Cyclical stocks tend to peak with what appear to be low price-earnings multiples

Position: Short MU (VS)

Tuesday Night Speculation

Dougie Kass

Last night shorts (off solely (massive) overboughts) and not for homegamers! Put on very small AMD $506.21 MU $949.56 SNDK $1636.

Position: Short AMD (VS), MU (VS), SNDK (VS)