SpaceX About to Tumble?

I am not sure what I see just yet with SpaceX ($SPCX). I do think that I see two developing technical patterns and both of those patterns tend to produce bearish reversals. 

Here is what looks like a developing Rising Wedge. It does seem to be closing rather quickly. I see the crossover of the 50-day SMA (blue line) by the 21-day EMA (green line). We call that a swing trader’s golden cross. That is often considered to be a bullish signal. That said, the signal is far less reliable when the blue line is falling as it is here. The lower trendline of the wedge would be the downside pivot in this case.

Now, I see a potential Double Top pattern developing with a downside pivot of $130. That’s the central low-point of the pattern. Can we trust it? I am not sure that I trust anything anymore. Both Relative Strength and the daily MACD are set up rather bullishly. That said, two potential patterns of bearish reversal, even if they are still incomplete, probably should not be ignored.

Position: None

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Posted by Stephen Guilfoyle

Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle is the founder and President of Sarge986 LLC, a family run trading operation. An NYSE floor trader for over 30 years, Guilfoyle has served as the Chief Market Economist for Stuart Frankel & Co., the U.S. Economist for Meridian Equity Partners, and as a Vice President in Block Trading and Investment Banking with Credit Suisse over the years. Guilfoyle earned his nickname “Sarge” while serving as an actual sergeant in reserve components of the U.S. Marine Corps, and U.S. Army while simultaneously working on Wall Street. He self-identifies as a day trader, long-term investor, and anything in between. He believes in removing the emotion out of the decision-making process and trusting the data. Look to Guilfoyle to prepare you for the trading day with his popular early morning Market Recon newsletter on TheStreet Pro, which provides a mix of fundamentals, technical analysis, economic commentary and trading ideas.

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