Are You Paying Attention to the Market’s Subtle Warnings?
Let’s look at the sentiment cycle chart to see where we are. Hint, while we’re not at ‘enthusiasm,’ we’re also not at ‘panic.’
Let’s look at the sentiment cycle chart to see where we are. Hint, while we’re not at ‘enthusiasm,’ we’re also not at ‘panic.’
The market was down today, but the selling was orderly and concentrated in tech and the mega caps.
Why was the market down on a day that breadth was positive? It’s that either/or market again.
Sentiment is deeply important to how the market performs. Right now, sentiment remains more complacent than I would like.
It’s counterintuitive, but if more people turn bearish, then there is more fuel for a rally as those investors jump back into the market.
It’s still an Either/Or market, but right now, with the market oversold, we could see a bounce.
The tech stocks are due for an oversold rally. Sentiment remains complacent, but more bears are joining the fray.
Investors are complacent. Even in stocks that are sinking. Until something changes, we won’t get a lasting and meaningful rally.
The best rallies set up from a place of fear. So, although stocks may be nearing oversold, until investors are fearful, we can’t expect much from a bounce.
Semiconductors are part of a long list of stocks that are down. The good news is that so many are down that this might be good news for investors.