Seasonality, Politics and the Death of the Momentum Trade
Conditions for a difficult September are in place, but it will also create new opportunities.
Charting the S&P 500: Dangerous Complacency at the Wrong Time
Too much bullishness when seasonal weakness is here is not a good combination.
The Others Retreat While Investors Leverage Up. Something Needs to Give.
Let’s examine a few key charts to see whether this chopfest will continue.
Hawkish Warsh Tells Wall Street to Beat It
The man was clear. His concern is inflation and Main Street.
Will Warsh Be More Forthcoming About Fed Policy?
The Fed Chair thinks the central bank should communicate less rather than more, but the market is hungry for insight into inflation.
Showtime in Wyoming, Great Day for My Book (But Not Breadth), Charting Nvidia
The market will run through Jackson Hole Friday. Here are my thoughts as Kevin Warsh takes the stage.
Sell Rosh, Buy Yom in 2026?
There’s an old adage about selling stocks before Rosh Hashanah and buying them back on Yom Kippur. Is there a chance that this strategy works in 2026?
Updating My Shopping List as We Await Warsh at Jackson Hole
Chips and software rally while the rest of the market struggles.
With the Nasdaq Nearing Oversold, Let’s Check the Intermediate-Term Indicators
Readers have asked about the intermediate-term indicators. They’re not saying much yet, but that might change as Nasdaq nears oversold.
Calm Before Storm as Nvidia Earnings, Data Deluge, Bigger Trade War Loom
Earnings land tonight from NVDA, CrowdStrike and Salesforce, after we get a plethora of economic data and as we deal with Iran and a trade spat with Canada.