Conditions Are Ripe for Selling Into a Series of Major Events
A flood of events will soak up liquidity in exactly the sector that needs support.
A flood of events will soak up liquidity in exactly the sector that needs support.
Here’s when we may look to revisit our rating as the shares fall under pressure.
It’s very interesting.
I suppose Nvidia ($NVDA) is not too different than Strategy’s Michael Saylor.
Does Nvidia run a business, or a stock? Is Jensen Huang a CEO or an equity market strategist and stock promoter?
Jensen Huang is obviously brilliant. He knows nearly the whole sector is a circular financing that has become too big for him to keep financing himself. It is now moving from being dependent on privately funded circular financing deals and the nuttiness of the credit markets, to needing the amounts of capital that only the equity markets can provide. Google ($GOOGL) and Meta ($META) have just implicitly told you that too, via their equity sales and theoretical planned equity sales. Open AI has told us it is even graver and more desperate than I suggest, because the company apparently is already back to begging the government again for money.
At any rate if all of one significant down day in the equity markets is enough to spook the Nvidia CEO into full Saylor waving pom-poms mode, it shows you they all know how desperate the situation is and how dependent the scheme is for fresh capital inflows at greater scale from the public markets to keep the game going.
The Nasdaq advances by +300% (and multiples are in unheard of territory) and then down 4% — and it is a “selloff” and a buying opportunity?

Positions: None.
Three stories played a much bigger role in the weakness than either Iran or rates.
Google & SpaceX, Nvidia & SK Hynix, Marvell joining the S&P 500, other headlines are moving stocks this morning.
Let’s check the ceasefire talks as fighting breaks out, the semis under pressure, jobs data … and see what’s ahead this week.
Let’s scan through the headlines for the stories of the week that speak to our Pro Portfolio holdings.
We locked in big gains, raised a few price targets, and extended our lead over the S&P 500 this week.
Despite a modest miss, the larger AI chip opportunity remains our focus.
Rocket Lab, a successful position for the portfolio, is getting knocked around by the space trade and insider sales.