Gasoline Fuels the Retail Sales Beat in September
Retail sales rose 0.8% versus a 0.3% estimate, but gas stations were over 70% of that gain while the GDP-linked control group missed and Census’s annual revision cut sales levels by about 4.5%.
Retail sales rose 0.8% versus a 0.3% estimate, but gas stations were over 70% of that gain while the GDP-linked control group missed and Census’s annual revision cut sales levels by about 4.5%.
Diary #12
Today’s meaningful downgrades courtesy of TheFly:
BofA downgraded PayPal ($PYPL) to Underperform from Neutral with a $53 price target. The firm sees a “weak” Q3 setup and argues that “every transformation lever is a 2027+ story.”
StoneX downgraded Spotify ($SPOT) to Hold from Buy and removed the firm’s previous price target. While the firm remains “strongly convinced” of Spotify’s long-term network effects and subsequent product and services scale advantages, it is downgrading the shares on what it views as difficult “financial optics” in the next twelve months.
JPMorgan downgraded Albertsons ($ACI) to Neutral from Overweight with an unchanged price target of $14 following the fiscal Q2 report. While the shares trade at a sizable discount to other U.S. food retailers, this could be warranted given Albertsons’ ongoing operational challenges and its acknowledgement this week that its self-help initiatives have not been as effective as it planned, the firm tells investors in a research note. Goldman Sachs also downgraded Albertsons to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $13, down from $16.
KeyBanc downgraded Cirrus Logic ($CRUS) to Sector Weight from Overweight without a price target. Apple (APPL) supplier cuts indicate iPhone units are likely to decline in 2027 and 80% of Cirrus Logic’s revenues are tied to Apple, the firm tells investors in a research note.
Goldman Sachs downgraded Par Pacific ($PARR) to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $94, up from $90. The firm sees downside risk to 2027 consensus estimates from elevated freight rates.
Position: None
Upgrades:
ArcelorMittal ($MT) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
Array Technologies ($ARRY) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Mizuho, Target: $5
Bank of America ($BAC) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird, Target: $62
BorgWarner ($BWA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA, Target: $85
Brighthouse Financial ($BHF) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan, Target: $55
CarMax ($KMX) upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA, Target: $65
Casey’s General Stores ($CASY) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital, Target: $825
Cemex ($CX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citi, Target: $12
Crocs ($CROX) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays, Target: $139
Fortrea ($FTRE) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank, Target: $25
Lithium Americas ($LAC) upgraded to Speculative Buy from Hold at Canaccord
Quantinuum ($QNT) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, Target: $62
Scotts Miracle-Gro ($SMG) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS, Target: $70
Walmart ($WMT) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank, Target: $136
Zions Bancorp ($ZION) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird, Target: $75
Downgrades:
Albertsons ($ACI) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan, Target: $14
Albertsons ($ACI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs, Target: $13
Align Technology ($ALGN) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Baird, Target: $162
Cirrus Logic ($CRUS) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc
Dauch ($DCH) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at BofA, Target: $5
Envista ($NVST) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Baird, Target: $26
Par Pacific ($PARR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs, Target: $94
Spotify ($SPOT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at StoneX
ZTO Express ($ZTO) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs, Target: $22
New research coverage
AngloGold Ashanti ($AU) initiated with a Buy at Goldman Sachs, Target: $104
Antero Resources ($AR) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank, Target: $46
APA Corp. ($APA) initiated with a Sector Perform at Scotiabank, Target: $44
Black Hills ($BKH) initiated with a Buy at Jefferies, Target: $87
Bright Minds Biosciences ($DRUG) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research, Target: $150
CAMP4 Therapeutics ($CAMP) initiated with a Buy at Needham, Target: $8
Chord Energy ($CHRD) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank, Target: $192
CNX Resources (CNX) initiated with a Sector Perform at Scotiabank, Target: $34
Crescent Energy ($CRGY) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank, Target: $18
CRISPR Therapeutics ($CRSP) initiated with a Neutral at UBS, Target: $52
Devon Energy ($DVN) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank, Target: $61
Diamondback Energy ($FANG) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank, Target: $250
Digital Turbine ($APPS) resumed with a Buy at Roth Capital, Target: $19
Eloxx Pharmaceuticals ($ELOX) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald
EOG Resources ($EOG) initiated with a Sector Perform at Scotiabank, Target: $144
EQT Corporation ($EQT) initiated with a Sector Perform at Scotiabank, Target: $54
Establishment Labs ($ESTA) initiated with a Buy at Stifel, Target: $85
Fidelity National Information Services ($FIS) resumed with a Buy at BofA, Target: $42
First Financial Bankshares ($FFIN) initiated with a Market Perform at Raymond James
Fiserv ($FISV) resumed with an Underperform at BofA, Target: $48
Global Payments ($GPN) resumed with a Buy at BofA, Target: $114
Gold Fields ($GFI) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman Sachs, Target: $38
Gulfport Energy ($GPOR) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank, Target: $217
HawkEye 360 ($HAWK) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Sandler, Target: $22
Hemab Therapeutics ($COAG) initiated with an Overweight at JPMorgan, Target: $70
Infinity Natural Resources ($INR) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank, Target: $17
Magnolia Oil & Gas ($MGY) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank, Target: $31
Matador Resources ($MTDR) initiated with a Sector Perform at Scotiabank, Target: $59
MGE Energy ($MGEE) initiated with a Neutral at JPMorgan, Target: $76
Murphy Oil ($MUR) initiated with a Sector Perform at Scotiabank, Target: $41
Netflix ($NFLX) assumed with a Buy at Jefferies, Target: $85
Northern Oil and Gas ($NOG) initiated with a Sector Perform at Scotiabank, Target: $27
onsemi ($ON) initiated with a Buy at StoneX, Target: $110
Ovid Therapeutics ($OVID) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research, Target: $5
Permian Resources ($PR) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank, Target: $29
Rapport Therapeutics ($RAPP) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research, Target: $50
Rapport Therapeutics ($RAPP) initiated with a Buy at UBS, Target: $71
Redwire ($RDW) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Sandler, Target: $11
Shift4 Payments ($FOUR) resumed with a Neutral at BofA, Target: $42
Sight Sciences ($SGHT) initiated with a Buy at H.C. Wainwright, Target: $14
SM Energy ($SM) initiated with a Sector Perform at Scotiabank, Target: $39
Solid Biosciences ($SLDB) initiated with a Buy at UBS, Target: $20
Spectrum Brands ($SPB) resumed with a Buy at UBS, Target: $97
Suja Life ($SUJA) initiated with a Hold at Needham
Ultragenyx ($RARE) initiated with a Neutral at UBS, Target: $16
Vail Resorts ($MTN) initiated with a Market Perform at Citizens
Versant Media ($VSNT) initiated with an Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, Target: $38
Viking Therapeutics ($VKTX) initiated with a Buy at UBS, Target: $94
Viper Energy ($VNOM) initiated with a Sector Outperform at Scotiabank, Target: $54
Warner Music Group ($WMG) initiated with a Buy at StoneX
Wave Life Sciences ($WVE) initiated with a Buy at UBS, Target: $11
York Space Systems ($YSS) initiated with a Neutral at Piper Sandler, Target: $9
Position: TheStreet Pro Portfolio is long BAC, NFLX
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