Is Sentiment Giddy Yet? It’s Complicated.
Let’s examine some key sentiment measures.
Bullish sentiment is surging across key indicators, and similar setups recently led to fast S&P drops. This market may be due for a shakeout.
Let’s talk about the chart patterns of some key stocks, including Walmart, which is starting to look like Microsoft stock from last November.
Today saw a rise in new highs on the NYSE, but there were still about 20% fewer than just two weeks ago.
It’s still an either/or market with money flowing into the tech leaders, but not the others.
The market continues to follow the sentiment cycle chart, and it appears that we’re currently at ‘anxiety’.
I’m still expecting the market to reach oversold levels sometime after Memorial Day.
It’s likely that they’ll get there, but probably not until next week.
This remains an Either/Or Market. On Monday, however, the action was marked by a drying up of selling pressure.
Some of the year’s weakest stocks enjoyed a green day. But the market remains intermediate-term overbought. Will that be enough to get investors to commit new capital?