Chart of the Day: Paccar Is Stuck in Reverse

Just a nasty move to the downside for Paccar ($PCAR). Lower highs, lower lows is the textbook definition of a downtrend, and falling some 15% over the past several weeks puts this stock in correction territory.

The rise in interest rates and oil that has been a negative for this commercial truck manufacturer. Paccar makes diesel trucks, and we all know where diesel prices are at. That’s right, all-time highs, and that hits hard for truck designers.

It is difficult to predict where oil prices are going since the Iran war is fluid, but a lack of diesel or continued high prices will make it difficult for companies to consider purchasing what Paccar is producing. This is reflected in the chart — that perhaps earnings are going to take a hit over the coming quarters.

Has the market discounted all the bad news? It is hard to say but certainly a 15% correction says it could be true.

Money flow is awful, and the trend is strong with the ADX rising up and hitting near 40. Meanwhile, MACD is on a sell signal and the candles are purple, which reflects a strong bearish chart. Volume really picked up lately to the downside.

There’s nothing bullish on this chart here except that one spot in May where buyers came in. I suspect if oil prices ease we could see Paccar move back up, but that outcome is uncertain.

We like Paccar in TheStreet Pro Portfolio and rate it a One, or “buy at anytime.”

More Pro Portfolio:

At the time of publication, TheStreet Pro Portfolio was long PCAR.

Avatar photo

Posted by Bob Lang

Bob Lang is one of the country’s top options traders, an expert market technician, and a highly sought-after mentor and teacher. He is a private trader in equity and option markets and created his own hedge fund and options trading company called Explosive Options. He is also founder and Chief Options Analyst at Aztec Capital, LLC. He has been a regular contributor to TheStreet Pro's paid subscription products since 2009. Lang is both a short-term trader and long-term stock investor. He utilizes technical and fundamental analysis to find investment opportunities. His coverage for TheStreet Pro specializes in options trading, stock investing, and technical analysis. One of Lang’s claims to fame is his creation of the acronym FANG to describe the top tech companies at the time (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google). The acronym has since expanded considerably and is still widely used today. He is the author of the book “Know Your Options” and holds an MBA from the University of Redlands. When he’s not providing financial commentary for TheStreet, he can be found on the tennis court, reading, or traveling.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *