Charting Bitcoin

Looking at the chart for Bitcoin, readers will see two nearly simultaneous technical patterns running alongside each other that appear to be bullish in nature. There is a Falling Wedge pattern of bullish reversal that created the August breakout. We now also have a giant Double Bottom pattern, also of bullish reversal. That one may be a problem.

The pivot there sits at just about $81,700. This is close to where BTC appears to have hit resistance this morning. Should Bitcoin fail to take and hold that spot, this pattern will fail and the breakout is over. 

Checking my favored indicators, Relative Strength appears to have apexed and has now entered into a technically overbought state. That said, below the chart, the daily MACD, which is a momentum indicator, looks really bullish. 

The histogram of the 9-day EMA has been in positive territory since mid-August, which is a short-term bullish signal. On top of that, the 12-day EMA is running well above the 26-day EMA. With both of those lines still standing above the zero-bound, the bullish signal is amplified.

Everything really depends upon what happens at the $81,700 pivot point.  

Position: None

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Posted by Stephen Guilfoyle

Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle is the founder and President of Sarge986 LLC, a family run trading operation. An NYSE floor trader for over 30 years, Guilfoyle has served as the Chief Market Economist for Stuart Frankel & Co., the U.S. Economist for Meridian Equity Partners, and as a Vice President in Block Trading and Investment Banking with Credit Suisse over the years. Guilfoyle earned his nickname “Sarge” while serving as an actual sergeant in reserve components of the U.S. Marine Corps, and U.S. Army while simultaneously working on Wall Street. He self-identifies as a day trader, long-term investor, and anything in between. He believes in removing the emotion out of the decision-making process and trusting the data. Look to Guilfoyle to prepare you for the trading day with his popular early morning Market Recon newsletter on TheStreet Pro, which provides a mix of fundamentals, technical analysis, economic commentary and trading ideas.

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